TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TTMatch #11845780
Played May 7Finished
David Reitspies
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1513118811118––
Matthias Danzer
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
How it is goingDavid Reitspies above · Matthias Danzer below
Set 1 · 15-13
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 85 set 4, 11-8
85 points played in total.
H2H David Reitspies 1–0 Matthias Danzer Matthias Danzer has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Reitspies)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Danzer form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsReitspies 1.61 / Danzer 2.20
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Reitspies)-1.7pp (anti-value)
Challenger Series TT · #11845780
Reitspies1.61
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Danzer2.20
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeReitspies1wins
AwayDanzer0wins
Reitspies leads 1–0.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricReitspiesDanzerR − DBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match33.021.0+12.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricReitspiesDanzerBasisWin rate · lifetime145 / 204 vs 191 / 26971.1%71%145 / 204 vs 191 / 269Avg sets wonper match2.52.4per matchAvg pointsper match37.937.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ReitspiesReitspies 1.61/Danzer 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56%
Reitspies · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Reitspies won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
W—D. Reitspies—0M. Danzer—3
D. Reitspies10
LAug 29 · 12:00A. Eriksson1.4011512103D. Reitspies2.754111041WAug 29 · 11:24D. Reitspies1.281211113T. Rasmussen3.5010980WAug 28 · 12:20D. Reitspies1.2511118863D. Chaperon3.7588111152WAug 28 · 11:18D. Reitspies1.1411118863D. Provost5.0088111152LMay 8 · 11:00M. Aguirre2.20711111113D. Reitspies1.6111871172WMay 8 · 09:45F. Bluhm2.208490D. Reitspies1.611111113WMay 8 · 08:30D. Reitspies1.251111113M. Hollo3.753470WMay 8 · 06:30D. Reitspies1.0311611113M. Nogami10.00911471WMay 7 · 16:00D. Reitspies1.67111111113F. Bluhm2.10613971WMay 7 · 12:30D. Reitspies1.031111113D. Zech10.003940
M. Danzer10
LAug 25 · 11:00V. Yefimov1.46128711113M. Danzer2.55101111762WAug 25 · 09:45M. Danzer1.1812117113E. Huzsvar4.051071161WAug 25 · 07:30M. Henninger6.5011311692M. Danzer1.10911911113LAug 24 · 17:30M. Danzer1.8313781112V. Yefimov1.831111117113WAug 24 · 16:00A. Moreno8.506650M. Danzer1.051111113WAug 24 · 14:00P. Koloidenko8.001111181M. Danzer1.0611139113WAug 24 · 12:00M. Danzer—11117113E. Huzsvar—481191WAug 24 · 09:30M. Danzer1.031111113M. Kupfer10.004860WAug 24 · 08:00M. Danzer1.041111113J. Willeke8.107860WAug 21 · 11:00M. Danzer1.251111163N. Kizakisz3.4066140
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