TT Lossbeater/WTT Europe Smash Sweden Quals
WTT Europe Smash Sweden QualsMatch #12379595
Played Aug 8Finished
Anders Eriksson
Home
4.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
1–0Last 1Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
10121113116911––
Liam Pitchford
Away
1.22
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:58 and never touched — 68.8% is still 68.8%
Graded at full timeLiam Pitchford to win
68.8%
68.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAnders Eriksson above · Liam Pitchford below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 83 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Liam Pitchford at 68.8%
83 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:58What took a side2 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.22 (77%)
Pitchford
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Form (L5)
Eriksson 100% vs Pitchford 0%
Eriksson
Wrong
100pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Eriksson 100% vs Pitchford 30%
Eriksson
Wrong
70pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Eriksson +1 · Pitchford -5
Pitchford
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 77% — Strong (leans Pitchford) · live re-read · sealed at 69% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pitchford form (0%) is below what odds imply (82%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsEriksson 4.00 / Pitchford 1.22
Signal prob.23% / 77%
Edge (Pitchford)+0.0pp
WTT Europe Smash Sweden Quals · #12379595
Eriksson4.00
100%won 1 of 1 · last 10
oldest → newest
100%takes the first set · 1 of 1
Pitchford1.22
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricErikssonPitchfordBasisWin rate · lifetime1 / 1 vs 3 / 10100%30%1 / 1 vs 3 / 10Avg sets wonper match3.01.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PitchfordEriksson 4.00/Pitchford 1.22
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
76.6%
Pitchford · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Pitchford won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
A. Eriksson5
L. Pitchford10
LAug 9 · 13:50I. Quek1.3751111113L. Pitchford2.70113771LAug 9 · 09:45I. Quek1.5751111113L. Pitchford2.25113771LJun 30 · 01:35H. Shinozuka1.1711513113L. Pitchford4.506111191LAug 29 · 12:35L. Pitchford1.8310990H. Soderlund1.831211113LAug 29 · 11:10L. Pitchford—10590C. Machado—1211113LAug 17 · 16:35A. Rassenfosse1.831211113L. Pitchford1.8310970LJul 9 · 01:35L. Pitchford1.831161081S. Lee1.8371112113WJul 6 · 21:50Y. Chen1.917813101L. Pitchford1.80111111123LJun 19 · 12:40L. Pitchford1.83915861Y. Feng1.83111311113LMay 18 · 14:10S. Lin1.08111211114L. Pitchford7.00910290
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