TT Lossbeater/WTT Contender Almaty
WTT Contender AlmatyMatch #13078067
Played Sep 5Finished
Evgeny Tikhonov
Home
1.22
At publish
Won last 7Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 7
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
911116911117117
Alexis Kouraichi
Away
3.60
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:28 and never touched — 57.3% is still 57.3%
Graded at full timeEvgeny Tikhonov to win
57.3%
57.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingEvgeny Tikhonov above · Alexis Kouraichi below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 93 set 5, 11-7 — our read held Evgeny Tikhonov at 57.3%
93 points played in total.
H2H Evgeny Tikhonov 1–0 Alexis Kouraichi Alexis Kouraichi has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:28What took a side3 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.22 (75%)
Tikhonov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Form (L5)
Tikhonov 100% vs Kouraichi 60%
Tikhonov
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Tikhonov 90% vs Kouraichi 80%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Tikhonov +5 · Kouraichi +2
Tikhonov
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 75% — Strong (leans Tikhonov) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kouraichi form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (28%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTikhonov 1.22 / Kouraichi 3.60
Signal prob.75% / 25%
Edge (Tikhonov)+0.0pp
WTT Contender Almaty · #13078067
Tikhonov1.22
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 7
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
Kouraichi3.60
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeTikhonov1wins
AwayKouraichi0wins
1 of 1 to a deciderTikhonov leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricTikhonovKouraichiT − KBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match51.042.0+9.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTikhonovKouraichiBasisWin rate · lifetime9 / 10 vs 8 / 1090%80%9 / 10 vs 8 / 10Avg sets wonper match2.72.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TikhonovTikhonov 1.22/Kouraichi 3.60
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
74.7%
Tikhonov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Tikhonov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 5 · 05:35E. Tikhonov—911911113A. Kouraichi—11611772
E. Tikhonov10
LSep 5 · 11:35E. Tikhonov2.35119971S. Gauzy1.5261111113WSep 4 · 12:10R. Yoshiyama1.5069120E. Tikhonov2.501111143WSep 3 · 05:00E. Tikhonov2.2511811133N. Artemenko1.576114111WJul 28 · 13:15E. Tikhonov1.6112711123E. Dorr2.2010116101WJul 28 · 06:45E. Tikhonov1.5712912113F. Bourrassaud2.2510111091WJul 27 · 14:35K. Gerassimenko1.4211115552E. Tikhonov2.65871111113WJul 27 · 08:55M. Grebnev2.38311831E. Tikhonov1.5311811113WJul 26 · 07:20A. Kenzhigulov5.005101281E. Tikhonov1.14111210113LJul 4 · 10:20J. Hung1.501111113E. Tikhonov2.508660WJul 3 · 16:25E. Tikhonov1.441111113A. Istrate2.631950
A. Kouraichi10
WSep 4 · 11:00A. Kouraichi4.50111411123K. Karlsson1.17117118102WSep 3 · 05:00P. Jain1.91108111162A. Kouraichi1.80121189113LAug 26 · 18:00D. Dorcescu1.7571111113A. Kouraichi1.95118861LJul 22 · 21:10A. Kouraichi1.4449110I. Diaw2.631111133WJul 22 · 14:00A. Kouraichi—1111113C. Silva—7440WJul 12 · 21:15L. Nodrest1.4411891182A. Kouraichi2.63911117113WJul 12 · 14:45M. Aguirre1.57111111472A. Kouraichi2.25136811113WJul 11 · 22:25A. Kouraichi2.3811119113H. Desai1.53581151WJul 11 · 16:20A. Kouraichi1.081115113I. Pastore7.0041370WJul 10 · 22:25J. Perez1.508117101A. Kouraichi2.5011711123
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