TT Lossbeater/WTT Star Contender Brazil Qual
WTT Star Contender Brazil QualMatch #12283083
Played Jul 22Finished
Alexis Kouraichi
Home
1.44
At publish
Won last 7Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 7
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
4119111113––––
Ibrahima Diaw
Away
2.63
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–2Last 8Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:57 and never touched — 64.5% is still 64.5%
Graded at full timeAlexis Kouraichi to win
64.5%
64.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingAlexis Kouraichi above · Ibrahima Diaw below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-13
Point 59 set 3, 11-13 — our read held Alexis Kouraichi at 64.5%
59 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 17:57What took a side3 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Kouraichi
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Form (L5)
Kouraichi 100% vs Diaw 80%
Kouraichi
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kouraichi 70% vs Diaw 75%
—
Too close
5pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kouraichi +5 · Diaw +1
Kouraichi
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Kouraichi)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Diaw form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKouraichi 1.44 / Diaw 2.63
Signal prob.65% / 36%
Edge (Kouraichi)-0.0pp
WTT Star Contender Brazil Qual · #12283083
Kouraichi1.44
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 7
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
Diaw2.63
75%won 6 of 8 · last 10
oldest → newest
63%takes the first set · 5 of 8
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricKouraichiDiawBasisWin rate · lifetime7 / 10 vs 8 / 1070%80%7 / 10 vs 8 / 10Avg sets wonper match2.42.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KouraichiKouraichi 1.44/Diaw 2.63
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
64.5%
Kouraichi · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Diaw won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
A. Kouraichi10
LSep 5 · 05:35E. Tikhonov1.22911911113A. Kouraichi3.6011611772WSep 4 · 11:00A. Kouraichi4.50111411123K. Karlsson1.17117118102WSep 3 · 05:00P. Jain1.91108111162A. Kouraichi1.80121189113LAug 26 · 18:00D. Dorcescu1.7571111113A. Kouraichi1.95118861WJul 22 · 14:00A. Kouraichi—1111113C. Silva—7440WJul 12 · 21:15L. Nodrest1.4411891182A. Kouraichi2.63911117113WJul 12 · 14:45M. Aguirre1.57111111472A. Kouraichi2.25136811113WJul 11 · 22:25A. Kouraichi2.3811119113H. Desai1.53581151WJul 11 · 16:20A. Kouraichi1.081115113I. Pastore7.0041370WJul 10 · 22:25J. Perez1.508117101A. Kouraichi2.5011711123
I. Diaw10
LJul 24 · 15:45I. Diaw2.636911101T. Jarvis1.4411113123WJul 23 · 23:30I. Diaw1.6111116113N. Burgos2.20991111WJul 21 · 20:00B. Bandeira—2540I. Diaw—1111113LJul 11 · 22:25M. Aguirre1.47611115113I. Diaw2.3811891172WJul 11 · 16:55M. Pantoja2.10711141192I. Diaw1.671113128113WJul 10 · 22:25I. Diaw—91111113N. Burgos—117681WJul 9 · 13:35F. Alvarez—2430I. Diaw—1111113WJul 8 · 19:30I. Diaw—1211113C. Zapata—10480WJul 8 · 13:40Y. Rebetez—1125111I. Diaw—61111133LJan 30 · 13:55I. Diaw3.408710Y. Huang1.301111113
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