TT Lossbeater/WTT Star Contender Brazil Qual
WTT Star Contender Brazil QualMatch #12285405
Played Jul 23Finished
Ibrahima Diaw
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–2Last 9Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
119119611111––
Nicolas Burgos
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 24:31 and never touched — 66.9% is still 66.9%
Graded at full timeIbrahima Diaw to win
66.9%
66.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingIbrahima Diaw above · Nicolas Burgos below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-1
Point 69 set 4, 11-1 — our read held Ibrahima Diaw at 66.9%
69 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 24:31What took a side3 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Diaw
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Form (L5)
Diaw 80% vs Burgos 20%
Diaw
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Diaw 78% vs Burgos 40%
Diaw
Correct
38pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Diaw +2 · Burgos -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Diaw) · live re-read · sealed at 67% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Burgos form (20%) is below what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDiaw 1.61 / Burgos 2.20
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Diaw)+0.0pp
WTT Star Contender Brazil Qual · #12285405
Diaw1.61
78%won 7 of 9 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest67%takes the first set · 6 of 9
Burgos2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest67%takes the first set · 6 of 9
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricDiawBurgosBasisWin rate · lifetime8 / 10 vs 4 / 1080%40%8 / 10 vs 4 / 10Avg sets wonper match2.61.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
Forecastthe model predicts this market
Match Winner
DiawDiaw 1.61/Burgos 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.7%
Diaw · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Diaw won
Handicap · Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
I. Diaw10
LJul 24 · 15:45I. Diaw2.636911101T. Jarvis1.4411113123WJul 22 · 21:10A. Kouraichi1.4449110I. Diaw2.631111133WJul 21 · 20:00B. Bandeira—2540I. Diaw—1111113LJul 11 · 22:25M. Aguirre1.47611115113I. Diaw2.3811891172WJul 11 · 16:55M. Pantoja2.10711141192I. Diaw1.671113128113WJul 10 · 22:25I. Diaw—91111113N. Burgos—117681WJul 9 · 13:35F. Alvarez—2430I. Diaw—1111113WJul 8 · 19:30I. Diaw—1211113C. Zapata—10480WJul 8 · 13:40Y. Rebetez—1125111I. Diaw—61111133LJan 30 · 13:55I. Diaw3.408710Y. Huang1.301111113
N. Burgos10
LAug 26 · 16:50N. Tauler2.3211119113N. Burgos1.52981191LJul 10 · 22:25I. Diaw—91111113N. Burgos—117681LJun 27 · 01:05N. Burgos3.554460E. Ranefur1.241111113WJun 26 · 17:35N. Burgos1.571111123G. Gomez2.2587100LFeb 20 · 03:35D. Habesohn1.57911119113N. Burgos2.2511541172LSep 25 · 03:00N. Burgos2.251071151H. Desai1.5712116113LSep 20 · 08:10Y. Uda1.91811115123N. Burgos1.80111511112WSep 19 · 16:50L. Pistej2.0011127762N. Burgos1.736101111113WSep 18 · 15:45A. Vilardell1.9161770N. Burgos1.801119103LAug 31 · 17:45T. Konecny1.83101111113N. Burgos1.83123991
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