TT Lossbeater/WTT Contender Almaty
WTT Contender AlmatyMatch #13072244
Played Sep 4Finished
Alexis Kouraichi
Home
4.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1111174111181210
Kristian Karlsson
Away
1.17
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:54 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAlexis Kouraichi to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAlexis Kouraichi above · Kristian Karlsson below
Set 1 · 1-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 12-10
Point 86 set 5, 12-10 — our read held Alexis Kouraichi at 54.0%
86 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:54What took a side1 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.17 (79%)
Karlsson
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Form (L5)
Kouraichi 60% vs Karlsson 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kouraichi 80% vs Karlsson 60%
Kouraichi
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kouraichi +1 · Karlsson +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 79% — Strong (leans Karlsson) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Karlsson form (60%) is below what odds imply (86%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKouraichi 4.50 / Karlsson 1.17
Signal prob.21% / 79%
Edge (Karlsson)-0.0pp
WTT Contender Almaty · #13072244
Kouraichi4.50
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
Karlsson1.17
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricKouraichiKarlssonBasisWin rate · lifetime8 / 10 vs 6 / 1080%60%8 / 10 vs 6 / 10Avg sets wonper match2.52.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KarlssonKouraichi 4.50/Karlsson 1.17
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
79.4%
Karlsson · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Kouraichi won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
A. Kouraichi10
LSep 5 · 05:35E. Tikhonov1.22911911113A. Kouraichi3.6011611772WSep 3 · 05:00P. Jain1.91108111162A. Kouraichi1.80121189113LAug 26 · 18:00D. Dorcescu1.7571111113A. Kouraichi1.95118861LJul 22 · 21:10A. Kouraichi1.4449110I. Diaw2.631111133WJul 22 · 14:00A. Kouraichi—1111113C. Silva—7440WJul 12 · 21:15L. Nodrest1.4411891182A. Kouraichi2.63911117113WJul 12 · 14:45M. Aguirre1.57111111472A. Kouraichi2.25136811113WJul 11 · 22:25A. Kouraichi2.3811119113H. Desai1.53581151WJul 11 · 16:20A. Kouraichi1.081115113I. Pastore7.0041370WJul 10 · 22:25J. Perez1.508117101A. Kouraichi2.5011711123
K. Karlsson10
WSep 3 · 13:20L. Katsman4.337116101K. Karlsson1.2011411123LAug 13 · 17:45S. Togami1.251111113K. Karlsson3.759660WAug 12 · 17:45K. Karlsson4.5011118133H. Shinozuka1.176911111WMay 5 · 17:08K. Karlsson1.131111133D. Szantosi5.5077110LApr 11 · 03:35K. Karlsson2.1011414852T. Pucar1.677111211113WApr 10 · 10:10L. Mladenovic3.75111981K. Karlsson1.2571111113WApr 9 · 06:00K. Karlsson1.131111113H. Bae5.507530LApr 1 · 12:00H. Calderano1.201111114113K. Karlsson4.3313511192WMar 30 · 09:35K. Karlsson1.3611711113L. Jancarik3.00411481LMar 11 · 07:05Y. Lin1.0781111113K. Karlsson7.50116471
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