TT Lossbeater/WTT Europe Smash Sweden
WTT Europe Smash SwedenMatch #12415063
Played Aug 13Finished
Shunsuke Togami
Home
1.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
119116116––––
Kristian Karlsson
Away
3.75
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:11 and never touched — 58.2% is still 58.2%
Graded at full timeKristian Karlsson to win
58.2%
58.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingShunsuke Togami above · Kristian Karlsson below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 54 set 3, 11-6 — our read held Kristian Karlsson at 58.2%
54 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:11What took a side1 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.25 (75%)
Togami
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Form (L5)
Togami 40% vs Karlsson 80%
Karlsson
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Togami 60% vs Karlsson 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Togami +1 · Karlsson +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 75% — Strong (leans Togami) · live re-read · sealed at 42% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Karlsson form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (27%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTogami 1.25 / Karlsson 3.75
Signal prob.75% / 25%
Edge (Togami)+0.0pp
WTT Europe Smash Sweden · #12415063
Togami1.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Karlsson3.75
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricTogamiKarlssonBasisWin rate · lifetime6 / 10 vs 6 / 1060%60%6 / 10 vs 6 / 10Avg sets wonper match2.62.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TogamiTogami 1.25/Karlsson 3.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
75%
Togami · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Togami won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
S. Togami10
WSep 6 · 07:30S. Togami1.40121111114S. Gauzy2.75108370WSep 5 · 12:45S. Togami1.171111113K. Hamada4.409870WSep 5 · 06:45S. Togami1.14111014113A. Robles5.003121291WSep 4 · 11:35S. Togami1.101111123F. Bourrassaud6.5066100WSep 3 · 05:00S. Togami1.051111113A. Kurmangaliyev8.508670LAug 14 · 18:05S. Togami2.631211101192T. Harimoto1.44147129103WAug 10 · 17:10S. Togami1.221511113C. Wong4.0013370LAug 4 · 10:05B. Duda3.35611119113S. Togami1.2811761162LAug 4 · 02:00B. Duda4.00611119113S. Togami1.2211761162LJul 25 · 20:35J. An2.70111011133S. Togami1.405127111
K. Karlsson10
LSep 4 · 11:00A. Kouraichi4.50111411123K. Karlsson1.17117118102WSep 3 · 13:20L. Katsman4.337116101K. Karlsson1.2011411123WAug 12 · 17:45K. Karlsson4.5011118133H. Shinozuka1.176911111WMay 5 · 17:08K. Karlsson1.131111133D. Szantosi5.5077110LApr 11 · 03:35K. Karlsson2.1011414852T. Pucar1.677111211113WApr 10 · 10:10L. Mladenovic3.75111981K. Karlsson1.2571111113WApr 9 · 06:00K. Karlsson1.131111113H. Bae5.507530LApr 1 · 12:00H. Calderano1.201111114113K. Karlsson4.3313511192WMar 30 · 09:35K. Karlsson1.3611711113L. Jancarik3.00411481LMar 11 · 07:05Y. Lin1.0781111113K. Karlsson7.50116471
Upcoming Matches
S. Togami
K. Karlsson
Nothing scheduled
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.