TT Lossbeater/WTT Contender Almaty
WTT Contender AlmatyMatch #13082955
Played Sep 6Finished
Shunsuke Togami
Home
1.40
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
Final
4 – 0
Set by set
1210118113117––
Simon Gauzy
Away
2.75
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:20 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeShunsuke Togami to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingShunsuke Togami above · Simon Gauzy below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-3
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 73 set 4, 11-7 — our read held Shunsuke Togami at 54.0%
73 points played in total.
H2H Shunsuke Togami 1–0 Simon Gauzy Simon Gauzy has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:20What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Togami
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Togami 2162 vs Gauzy 2004
Togami
Correct
both rated, 158 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Togami 80% vs Gauzy 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Togami 60% vs Gauzy 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Togami +4 · Gauzy +4
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Togami) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Gauzy form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTogami 1.40 / Gauzy 2.75
Signal prob.66% / 34%
Edge (Togami)+0.0pp
WTT Contender Almaty · #13082955
Togami1.40
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
Gauzy2.75
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeTogami1wins
AwayGauzy0wins
Togami leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
This 1 meeting
MetricTogamiGauzyT − GBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match45.028.0+17.0per match
Career, not this matchup
MetricTogamiGauzyBasisWin rate · lifetime10 / 10 vs 4 / 5100%80%10 / 10 vs 4 / 5Avg sets wonper match3.12.4per matchAvg pointsper match38.637.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TogamiTogami 1.40/Gauzy 2.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.3%
Togami · sealed before the serve
What happened
4–0
Togami won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 6 · 07:30S. Togami—121111114S. Gauzy—108370
S. Togami10
WSep 5 · 12:45S. Togami1.171111113K. Hamada4.409870WSep 5 · 06:45S. Togami1.14111014113A. Robles5.003121291WSep 4 · 11:35S. Togami1.101111123F. Bourrassaud6.5066100WSep 3 · 05:00S. Togami1.051111113A. Kurmangaliyev8.508670LAug 14 · 18:05S. Togami2.631211101192T. Harimoto1.44147129103WAug 13 · 17:45S. Togami1.251111113K. Karlsson3.759660WAug 10 · 17:10S. Togami1.221511113C. Wong4.0013370LAug 4 · 10:05B. Duda3.35611119113S. Togami1.2811761162LAug 4 · 02:00B. Duda4.00611119113S. Togami1.2211761162LJul 25 · 20:35J. An2.70111011133S. Togami1.405127111
S. Gauzy10
WSep 5 · 11:35E. Tikhonov2.35119971S. Gauzy1.5261111113WSep 5 · 06:45B. Fang2.101250S. Gauzy1.671111113WSep 4 · 12:45Y. Tanaka2.2511115872S. Gauzy1.57781111113WSep 3 · 12:45K. Skachkov4.50491181S. Gauzy1.1711118113LAug 10 · 17:45Y. Uda1.53121112113S. Gauzy2.381051461LAug 6 · 04:20S. Gauzy1.8051020Y. Chen1.901112113LAug 4 · 02:00S. Gauzy1.6151020Y. Chen2.201112113LJun 30 · 21:55A. Lebrun1.36611113123S. Gauzy3.00115511102WJun 29 · 20:10M. Redzimski3.40116491S. Gauzy1.3091111113LJun 21 · 11:00S. Gauzy3.75791111102H. Calderano1.25111187123
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