TT Lossbeater/WTT Europe Smash Sweden
WTT Europe Smash SwedenMatch #12390474
Played Aug 10Finished
Yukiya Uda
Home
1.53
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
12101151214116––
Simon Gauzy
Away
2.38
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:07 and never touched — 60.8% is still 60.8%
Graded at full timeYukiya Uda to win
60.8%
60.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingYukiya Uda above · Simon Gauzy below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 12-14
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 81 set 4, 11-6 — our read held Yukiya Uda at 60.8%
81 points played in total.
H2H Yukiya Uda 1–0 Simon Gauzy Simon Gauzy has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 16:07What took a side2 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Uda
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Form (L5)
Uda 40% vs Gauzy 20%
Uda
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Uda 50% vs Gauzy 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Uda -3 · Gauzy -3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Uda)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Gauzy form (20%) is below what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsUda 1.53 / Gauzy 2.38
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Uda)+0.0pp
WTT Europe Smash Sweden · #12390474
Uda1.53
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Gauzy2.38
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeUda1wins
AwayGauzy0wins
Uda leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricUdaGauzyU − GBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match46.035.0+11.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricUdaGauzyBasisWin rate · lifetime5 / 10 vs 6 / 1050%60%5 / 10 vs 6 / 10Avg sets wonper match2.42.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
UdaUda 1.53/Gauzy 2.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.8%
Uda · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Uda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WAug 10 · 17:45Y. Uda—121112113S. Gauzy—1051461
Y. Uda10
LAug 13 · 16:35Y. Uda4.005950T. Harimoto1.221111113LAug 4 · 02:00H. Shinozuka2.50911115113Y. Uda1.5011591192LJul 26 · 18:00H. Calderano1.2511151221113Y. Uda3.75517141982LJul 26 · 14:40H. Calderano1.2411151221113Y. Uda3.45517141982WJul 25 · 21:45D. Jorgic1.444760Y. Uda2.631111113WJul 25 · 15:45Y. Uda2.001111113H. Shinozuka1.737160WJul 24 · 21:10Y. Uda1.53119813113Y. Tanaka2.38911111152LJul 3 · 20:10Y. Uda2.38118681W. Jang1.5391111113WJul 1 · 20:00G. Kuo1.831110871Y. Uda1.8341211113WJun 29 · 01:35Y. Uda1.03711611113V. Ursu8.5011911672
S. Gauzy10
LSep 6 · 07:30S. Togami1.40121111114S. Gauzy2.75108370WSep 5 · 11:35E. Tikhonov2.35119971S. Gauzy1.5261111113WSep 5 · 06:45B. Fang2.101250S. Gauzy1.671111113WSep 4 · 12:45Y. Tanaka2.2511115872S. Gauzy1.57781111113WSep 3 · 12:45K. Skachkov4.50491181S. Gauzy1.1711118113LAug 6 · 04:20S. Gauzy1.8051020Y. Chen1.901112113LAug 4 · 02:00S. Gauzy1.6151020Y. Chen2.201112113LJun 30 · 21:55A. Lebrun1.36611113123S. Gauzy3.00115511102WJun 29 · 20:10M. Redzimski3.40116491S. Gauzy1.3091111113LJun 21 · 11:00S. Gauzy3.75791111102H. Calderano1.25111187123
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