TT Lossbeater/WTT Star Contender Brazil
WTT Star Contender BrazilMatch #12303354
Played Jul 26Finished
Hugo Calderano
Home
1.25
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
115151712142119118
Yukiya Uda
Away
3.75
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 01:07 and never touched — 75.0% is still 75.0%
Graded at full timeHugo Calderano to win
75.0%
75.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingHugo Calderano above · Yukiya Uda below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 15-17
Set 3 · 12-14
Set 4 · 21-19
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 133 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Hugo Calderano at 75.0%
133 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 01:07What took a side1 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.25 (75%)
Calderano
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Form (L5)
Calderano 80% vs Uda 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Calderano 80% vs Uda 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Calderano +3 · Uda +3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 75% — Strong (leans Calderano)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Uda form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (27%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCalderano 1.25 / Uda 3.75
Signal prob.75% / 25%
Edge (Calderano)+0.0pp
WTT Star Contender Brazil · #12303354
Calderano1.25
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
Uda3.75
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricCalderanoUdaBasisWin rate · lifetime8 / 10 vs 7 / 1080%70%8 / 10 vs 7 / 10Avg sets wonper match2.82.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CalderanoCalderano 1.25/Uda 3.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
75%
Calderano · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Calderano won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
H. Calderano10
LAug 15 · 19:15F. Lebrun1.441611811114H. Calderano2.6314711451WAug 14 · 17:20A. Lind4.00791181H. Calderano1.2211115113WAug 14 · 10:35M. Yoshimura3.702111171H. Calderano1.2411913113WAug 13 · 11:10M. Yoshimura4.002111171H. Calderano1.2211913113WAug 11 · 12:20W. Bergenblock10.501760H. Calderano1.021111113WJul 26 · 21:00H. Calderano1.36113111344A. Lebrun3.00911611113WJul 26 · 14:40H. Calderano1.2411151221113Y. Uda3.45517141982WJul 25 · 21:45H. Calderano1.141111113J. Oh5.009640WJul 25 · 15:10H. Calderano1.1011114113T. Pucar6.50951161WJul 24 · 21:10H. Calderano1.171111113A. Bertelsmeier4.507850
Y. Uda10
LAug 13 · 16:35Y. Uda4.005950T. Harimoto1.221111113WAug 10 · 17:45Y. Uda1.53121112113S. Gauzy2.381051461LAug 4 · 02:00H. Shinozuka2.50911115113Y. Uda1.5011591192LJul 26 · 14:40H. Calderano1.2411151221113Y. Uda3.45517141982WJul 25 · 21:45D. Jorgic1.444760Y. Uda2.631111113WJul 25 · 15:45Y. Uda2.001111113H. Shinozuka1.737160WJul 24 · 21:10Y. Uda1.53119813113Y. Tanaka2.38911111152LJul 3 · 20:10Y. Uda2.38118681W. Jang1.5391111113WJul 1 · 20:00G. Kuo1.831110871Y. Uda1.8341211113WJun 29 · 01:35Y. Uda1.03711611113V. Ursu8.5011911672
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