TT Lossbeater/WTT Europe Smash Sweden
WTT Europe Smash SwedenMatch #12436551
Played Aug 15Finished
Felix Lebrun
Home
1.44
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
Final
4 – 1
Set by set
1614117811114115
Hugo Calderano
Away
2.63
At publish
Won last 10Form at publish
10–0Last 10Won last 10
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:12 and never touched — 55.1% is still 55.1%
Graded at full timeHugo Calderano to win
55.1%
55.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingFelix Lebrun above · Hugo Calderano below
Set 1 · 16-14
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-4
Set 5 · 11-5
Point 98 set 5, 11-5 — our read held Hugo Calderano at 55.1%
98 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:12What took a side2 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Lebrun
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Form (L5)
Lebrun 80% vs Calderano 100%
Calderano
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lebrun 70% vs Calderano 100%
Calderano
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Lebrun +3 · Calderano +5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Lebrun) · live re-read · sealed at 45% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Calderano form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLebrun 1.44 / Calderano 2.63
Signal prob.65% / 36%
Edge (Lebrun)-0.0pp
WTT Europe Smash Sweden · #12436551
Lebrun1.44
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Calderano2.63
100%won 10 of 10 · last 10
Won last 10
oldest → newest100%takes the first set · 10 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricLebrunCalderanoBasisWin rate · lifetime7 / 10 vs 10 / 1070%100%7 / 10 vs 10 / 10Avg sets wonper match2.63.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LebrunLebrun 1.44/Calderano 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.5%
Lebrun · sealed before the serve
What happened
4–1
Lebrun won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
F. Lebrun10
WAug 16 · 17:00F. Lebrun1.831111511104T. Harimoto1.835811991WAug 16 · 12:15D. Jorgic4.3355850F. Lebrun1.20111111114WAug 14 · 18:05F. Lebrun1.171111103T. Poret4.502440WAug 13 · 17:10F. Lebrun1.10111193G. Park6.509840WAug 12 · 10:35F. Lebrun1.0311118113E. Ionescu10.00451141LAug 8 · 08:30H. Shinozuka4.00812119114F. Lebrun1.22111081172WAug 6 · 05:00B. Duda4.509690F. Lebrun1.171111113WAug 4 · 02:00F. Coton4.504750F. Lebrun1.171111113LJul 5 · 20:30S. Matsushima1.9612111012124F. Lebrun1.701071210101LJul 5 · 17:30S. Matsushima2.0012111012124F. Lebrun1.731071210101
H. Calderano10
WAug 14 · 17:20A. Lind4.00791181H. Calderano1.2211115113WAug 14 · 10:35M. Yoshimura3.702111171H. Calderano1.2411913113WAug 13 · 11:10M. Yoshimura4.002111171H. Calderano1.2211913113WAug 11 · 12:20W. Bergenblock10.501760H. Calderano1.021111113WJul 26 · 21:00H. Calderano1.36113111344A. Lebrun3.00911611113WJul 26 · 18:00H. Calderano1.2511151221113Y. Uda3.75517141982WJul 26 · 14:40H. Calderano1.2411151221113Y. Uda3.45517141982WJul 25 · 21:45H. Calderano1.141111113J. Oh5.009640WJul 25 · 15:10H. Calderano1.1011114113T. Pucar6.50951161WJul 24 · 21:10H. Calderano1.171111113A. Bertelsmeier4.507850
Upcoming Matches
F. Lebrun
Nothing scheduled
H. Calderano
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