TT Lossbeater/WTT Europe Smash Sweden
WTT Europe Smash SwedenMatch #12416532
Played Aug 13Finished
Maharu Yoshimura
Home
4.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
2111191113711––
Hugo Calderano
Away
1.22
At publish
Won last 7Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 7
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:01 and never touched — 75.0% is still 75.0%
Graded at full timeHugo Calderano to win
75.0%
75.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMaharu Yoshimura above · Hugo Calderano below
Set 1 · 2-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-13
Set 4 · 7-10
Point 74 set 4, 7-10 — our read held Hugo Calderano at 75.0%
74 points drawn · the score is 1 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 23:01What took a side4 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.22 (77%)
Calderano
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Form (L5)
Yoshimura 40% vs Calderano 100%
Calderano
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Yoshimura 60% vs Calderano 90%
Calderano
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Yoshimura +1 · Calderano +5
Calderano
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 77% — Strong (leans Calderano) · live re-read · sealed at 75% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Calderano form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (82%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsYoshimura 4.00 / Calderano 1.22
Signal prob.23% / 77%
Edge (Calderano)+0.0pp
WTT Europe Smash Sweden · #12416532
Yoshimura4.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Calderano1.22
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 7
oldest → newest100%takes the first set · 10 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricYoshimuraCalderanoBasisWin rate · lifetime6 / 10 vs 9 / 1060%90%6 / 10 vs 9 / 10Avg sets wonper match2.12.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CalderanoYoshimura 4.00/Calderano 1.22
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
76.6%
Calderano · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Calderano won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
M. Yoshimura10
LAug 14 · 10:35M. Yoshimura3.702111171H. Calderano1.2411913113WAug 10 · 16:35M. Yoshimura1.67111112113K. Gerassimenko2.10541471LJun 29 · 02:45H. Calderano1.2811117113M. Yoshimura3.50481191LJun 10 · 23:00M. Yoshimura2.1081340V. Sidorenko1.671115113LJun 4 · 16:40A. Lind1.671111113M. Yoshimura2.105790WMay 14 · 15:15M. Yoshimura1.281111113A. Gacina3.509920WMay 14 · 08:45M. Yoshimura1.3315512113A. Bhattacharjee3.2513111071WMay 13 · 16:25M. Yoshimura1.141211113M. Mutti5.0010650WMay 13 · 10:20M. Yoshimura1.30117119113N. Artemenko3.4071141152WMay 12 · 09:20M. Yoshimura1.111111143J. Valenta6.0066120
H. Calderano10
LAug 15 · 19:15F. Lebrun1.441611811114H. Calderano2.6314711451WAug 14 · 17:20A. Lind4.00791181H. Calderano1.2211115113WAug 14 · 10:35M. Yoshimura3.702111171H. Calderano1.2411913113WAug 11 · 12:20W. Bergenblock10.501760H. Calderano1.021111113WJul 26 · 21:00H. Calderano1.36113111344A. Lebrun3.00911611113WJul 26 · 18:00H. Calderano1.2511151221113Y. Uda3.75517141982WJul 26 · 14:40H. Calderano1.2411151221113Y. Uda3.45517141982WJul 25 · 21:45H. Calderano1.141111113J. Oh5.009640WJul 25 · 15:10H. Calderano1.1011114113T. Pucar6.50951161WJun 29 · 02:45H. Calderano1.2811117113M. Yoshimura3.50481191
Upcoming Matches
M. Yoshimura
Nothing scheduled
H. Calderano
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