TT Lossbeater/WTT Europe Smash Sweden
WTT Europe Smash SwedenMatch #12390471
Played Aug 10Finished
Maharu Yoshimura
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1151141214117––
Kirill Gerassimenko
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:11 and never touched — 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timeMaharu Yoshimura to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMaharu Yoshimura above · Kirill Gerassimenko below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 12-14
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 75 set 4, 11-7 — our read held Maharu Yoshimura at 55.8%
75 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 16:11What took a side2 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Yoshimura
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Form (L5)
Yoshimura 40% vs Gerassimenko 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Yoshimura 60% vs Gerassimenko 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Yoshimura -3 · Gerassimenko -1
Yoshimura
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Yoshimura)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Yoshimura form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsYoshimura 1.67 / Gerassimenko 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Yoshimura)+0.0pp
WTT Europe Smash Sweden · #12390471
Yoshimura1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Gerassimenko2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricYoshimuraGerassimenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime6 / 10 vs 6 / 1060%60%6 / 10 vs 6 / 10Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
YoshimuraYoshimura 1.67/Gerassimenko 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.8%
Yoshimura · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Yoshimura won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
M. Yoshimura10
LAug 14 · 10:35M. Yoshimura3.702111171H. Calderano1.2411913113LAug 13 · 11:10M. Yoshimura4.002111171H. Calderano1.2211913113LJun 29 · 02:45H. Calderano1.2811117113M. Yoshimura3.50481191LJun 10 · 23:00M. Yoshimura2.1081340V. Sidorenko1.671115113LJun 4 · 16:40A. Lind1.671111113M. Yoshimura2.105790WMay 14 · 15:15M. Yoshimura1.281111113A. Gacina3.509920WMay 14 · 08:45M. Yoshimura1.3315512113A. Bhattacharjee3.2513111071WMay 13 · 16:25M. Yoshimura1.141211113M. Mutti5.0010650WMay 13 · 10:20M. Yoshimura1.30117119113N. Artemenko3.4071141152WMay 12 · 09:20M. Yoshimura1.111111143J. Valenta6.0066120
K. Gerassimenko10
LSep 4 · 06:10K. Gerassimenko1.67111171172B. Fang2.10139118113WSep 3 · 05:00K. Gerassimenko1.671111113M. Oikawa2.107680LJul 27 · 14:35K. Gerassimenko1.4211115552E. Tikhonov2.65871111113WJul 27 · 08:55K. Gerassimenko1.081111113A. Alkhadrawi7.005980WJul 26 · 07:20K. Gerassimenko1.051111113A. Shulaybi8.506760LJun 28 · 21:20K. Gerassimenko4.009650S. Matsushima1.221111113LJun 10 · 09:10K. Yiu3.2571111113K. Gerassimenko1.33118841WJun 9 · 16:30S. Aida3.25811771K. Gerassimenko1.3311911113LMay 6 · 13:15K. Gerassimenko3.409950T. Harimoto1.301111113WMay 6 · 11:30K. Gerassimenko4.3351114113S. Matsushima1.201181271
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