TT Lossbeater/WTT Contender Almaty
WTT Contender AlmatyMatch #13072242
Played Sep 4Finished
Kirill Gerassimenko
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1113119711118711
Bo Fang
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–4Last 9Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:52 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeBo Fang to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingKirill Gerassimenko above · Bo Fang below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 99 set 5, 7-11 — our read held Bo Fang at 54.0%
99 points played in total.
H2H Kirill Gerassimenko 0–1 Bo Fang Kirill Gerassimenko has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:52What took a side0 for · 1 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Gerassimenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Form (L5)
Gerassimenko 40% vs Fang 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Gerassimenko 50% vs Fang 56%
—
Too close
6pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Gerassimenko -2 · Fang +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Gerassimenko) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Gerassimenko form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGerassimenko 1.67 / Fang 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Gerassimenko)+0.0pp
WTT Contender Almaty · #13072242
Gerassimenko1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Fang2.10
56%won 5 of 9 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest56%takes the first set · 5 of 9
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeGerassimenko0wins
AwayFang1wins
1 of 1 to a deciderFang leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricGerassimenkoFangG − FBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match47.052.0−5.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGerassimenkoFangBasisWin rate · lifetime5 / 10 vs 5 / 1050%50%5 / 10 vs 5 / 10Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GerassimenkoGerassimenko 1.67/Fang 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.8%
Gerassimenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Fang won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LSep 4 · 06:10K. Gerassimenko—111171172B. Fang—139118113
K. Gerassimenko10
WSep 3 · 05:00K. Gerassimenko1.671111113M. Oikawa2.107680LAug 10 · 16:35M. Yoshimura1.67111112113K. Gerassimenko2.10541471LJul 27 · 14:35K. Gerassimenko1.4211115552E. Tikhonov2.65871111113WJul 27 · 08:55K. Gerassimenko1.081111113A. Alkhadrawi7.005980WJul 26 · 07:20K. Gerassimenko1.051111113A. Shulaybi8.506760LJun 28 · 21:20K. Gerassimenko4.009650S. Matsushima1.221111113LJun 10 · 09:10K. Yiu3.2571111113K. Gerassimenko1.33118841WJun 9 · 16:30S. Aida3.25811771K. Gerassimenko1.3311911113LMay 6 · 13:15K. Gerassimenko3.409950T. Harimoto1.301111113WMay 6 · 11:30K. Gerassimenko4.3351114113S. Matsushima1.201181271
B. Fang10
LSep 5 · 06:45B. Fang2.101250S. Gauzy1.671111113WSep 3 · 07:20F. Meng—941141B. Fang—11118113WSep 3 · 05:00F. Meng3.75941141B. Fang1.2511118113LAug 12 · 11:45K. Jha1.401111123B. Fang2.7589100LJun 17 · 18:20Y. Huang—1111113B. Fang—8560LJun 16 · 16:00Y. Huang2.201111113B. Fang1.618560WJun 16 · 09:45E. Ly10.507111241B. Fang1.02111310113LJun 10 · 16:20A. Bhattacharjee4.3312113113B. Fang1.201071161WJun 10 · 10:20B. Fang1.2811118113A. Robles3.03591151WJun 9 · 18:15S. Suravajjula3.405890B. Fang1.301111113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.