TT Lossbeater/WTT Contender Almaty
WTT Contender AlmatyMatch #13065343
Played Sep 3Finished
Kirill Gerassimenko
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117116118––––
Mizuki Oikawa
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:09 and never touched — 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timeKirill Gerassimenko to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingKirill Gerassimenko above · Mizuki Oikawa below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 54 set 3, 11-8 — our read held Kirill Gerassimenko at 55.8%
54 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:09What took a side1 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Gerassimenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Form (L5)
Gerassimenko 40% vs Oikawa 60%
Oikawa
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Gerassimenko 50% vs Oikawa 70%
Oikawa
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Gerassimenko -2 · Oikawa -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Gerassimenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Oikawa form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGerassimenko 1.67 / Oikawa 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Gerassimenko)+0.0pp
WTT Contender Almaty · #13065343
Gerassimenko1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Oikawa2.10
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricGerassimenkoOikawaBasisWin rate · lifetime5 / 10 vs 7 / 1050%70%5 / 10 vs 7 / 10Avg sets wonper match1.92.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GerassimenkoGerassimenko 1.67/Oikawa 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.8%
Gerassimenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Gerassimenko won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
K. Gerassimenko10
LSep 4 · 06:10K. Gerassimenko1.67111171172B. Fang2.10139118113LAug 10 · 16:35M. Yoshimura1.67111112113K. Gerassimenko2.10541471LJul 27 · 14:35K. Gerassimenko1.4211115552E. Tikhonov2.65871111113WJul 27 · 08:55K. Gerassimenko1.081111113A. Alkhadrawi7.005980WJul 26 · 07:20K. Gerassimenko1.051111113A. Shulaybi8.506760LJun 28 · 21:20K. Gerassimenko4.009650S. Matsushima1.221111113LJun 10 · 09:10K. Yiu3.2571111113K. Gerassimenko1.33118841WJun 9 · 16:30S. Aida3.25811771K. Gerassimenko1.3311911113LMay 6 · 13:15K. Gerassimenko3.409950T. Harimoto1.301111113WMay 6 · 11:30K. Gerassimenko4.3351114113S. Matsushima1.201181271
M. Oikawa10
LJun 19 · 17:10P. Xiang—1114113M. Oikawa—71290LJun 19 · 10:45P. Xiang1.801114113M. Oikawa1.9171290WJun 18 · 16:10J. Groth2.407101161M. Oikawa1.4811127113WJun 18 · 04:00J. Groth2.507101161M. Oikawa1.5011127113WJun 17 · 16:15Y. Huang1.36713471M. Oikawa3.00111111113WJun 16 · 16:45H. Kwon3.00871111102M. Oikawa1.36111156123WJun 16 · 10:20E. Dorr3.50151111742M. Oikawa1.28179911113LJun 11 · 11:20H. Shinozuka1.80111112113M. Oikawa1.91961401WJun 10 · 17:00M. Oikawa1.3611811113K. Yiu3.00211661WJun 10 · 10:55Q. Aruna1.83710100M. Oikawa1.831112123
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