TT Lossbeater/WTT Star Contender Brazil
WTT Star Contender BrazilMatch #12297288
Played Jul 25Finished
Hugo Calderano
Home
1.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
119115411116––
Tomislav Pucar
Away
6.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:31 and never touched — 63.3% is still 63.3%
Graded at full timeHugo Calderano to win
63.3%
63.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingHugo Calderano above · Tomislav Pucar below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 10-6
Point 67 set 4, 10-6 — our read held Hugo Calderano at 63.3%
67 points drawn · the score is 1 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 23:31What took a side3 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.10 (86%)
Calderano
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Form (L5)
Calderano 60% vs Pucar 20%
Calderano
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Calderano 70% vs Pucar 40%
Calderano
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Calderano +1 · Pucar +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 86% — Strong (leans Calderano) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Calderano form (60%) is below what odds imply (91%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCalderano 1.10 / Pucar 6.50
Signal prob.86% / 15%
Edge (Calderano)-0.0pp
WTT Star Contender Brazil · #12297288
Calderano1.10
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
Pucar6.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricCalderanoPucarBasisWin rate · lifetime7 / 10 vs 4 / 1070%40%7 / 10 vs 4 / 10Avg sets wonper match2.51.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CalderanoCalderano 1.10/Pucar 6.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
85.5%
Calderano · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Calderano won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
H. Calderano10
LAug 15 · 19:15F. Lebrun1.441611811114H. Calderano2.6314711451WAug 14 · 17:20A. Lind4.00791181H. Calderano1.2211115113WAug 14 · 10:35M. Yoshimura3.702111171H. Calderano1.2411913113WAug 13 · 11:10M. Yoshimura4.002111171H. Calderano1.2211913113WAug 11 · 12:20W. Bergenblock10.501760H. Calderano1.021111113WJul 26 · 21:00H. Calderano1.36113111344A. Lebrun3.00911611113WJul 26 · 18:00H. Calderano1.2511151221113Y. Uda3.75517141982WJul 26 · 14:40H. Calderano1.2411151221113Y. Uda3.45517141982WJul 25 · 21:45H. Calderano1.141111113J. Oh5.009640WJul 24 · 21:10H. Calderano1.171111113A. Bertelsmeier4.507850
T. Pucar10
LAug 14 · 11:20T. Pucar1.8371171182E. Ranefur1.83115119113WAug 13 · 18:55W. Jang1.228860T. Pucar4.001111113WAug 10 · 17:45A. Robles1.7161291142T. Pucar2.001110118113WAug 10 · 15:45A. Robles2.0061291142T. Pucar1.731110118113LAug 4 · 02:00K. Jha1.301111113T. Pucar3.407870WJul 24 · 15:10M. Karlsson1.838111181T. Pucar1.8311136113LJun 29 · 19:35T. Pucar3.4011101161P. Franziska1.3041213113LJun 18 · 17:55T. Pucar2.401011381G. Park1.4812411113LJun 18 · 04:00T. Pucar2.501011381G. Park1.5012411113LJun 13 · 10:10J. Lim1.8311611113T. Pucar1.83711551
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