TT Lossbeater/WTT Star Contender Brazil
WTT Star Contender BrazilMatch #12294463
Played Jul 24Finished
Mattias Karlsson
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
8111113116811––
Tomislav Pucar
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:53 and never touched — 62.5% is still 62.5%
Graded at full timeMattias Karlsson to win
62.5%
62.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingMattias Karlsson above · Tomislav Pucar below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 79 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Mattias Karlsson at 62.5%
79 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:53What took a side2 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Pucar
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Form (L5)
Karlsson 60% vs Pucar 20%
Karlsson
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Karlsson 60% vs Pucar 40%
Karlsson
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Karlsson +1 · Pucar -4
Pucar
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Karlsson) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pucar form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKarlsson 1.83 / Pucar 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Karlsson)+4.0pp
WTT Star Contender Brazil · #12294463
Karlsson1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Pucar1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricKarlssonPucarBasisWin rate · lifetime6 / 10 vs 4 / 1060%40%6 / 10 vs 4 / 10Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
Forecastthe model predicts this market
Match Winner
KarlssonKarlsson 1.83/Pucar 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Karlsson · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Pucar won
Handicap · Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
M. Karlsson10
LSep 4 · 05:35M. Karlsson1.73117111292K. Hamada2.00711414113WSep 3 · 12:10M. Karlsson—71111123S. Zhubanov—1136101WSep 3 · 12:10M. Karlsson1.0671111123S. Zhubanov8.001136101LAug 10 · 16:35J. Groth1.83117711123M. Karlsson1.83811118102WJul 23 · 07:00M. Karlsson1.221611163M. Mutti4.00149140LJun 27 · 02:50A. Bertelsmeier1.82812119113M. Karlsson1.82111081172WJun 26 · 19:20M. Karlsson1.171211711113L. Pistej4.5014811472LJun 4 · 10:45M. Karlsson3.751151091H. Shinozuka1.2561112113WJun 3 · 15:10M. Oikawa1.5391180M. Karlsson2.381113113WJun 3 · 10:20M. Karlsson1.221111113R. Castro4.009640
T. Pucar10
LAug 14 · 11:20T. Pucar1.8371171182E. Ranefur1.83115119113WAug 13 · 18:55W. Jang1.228860T. Pucar4.001111113WAug 10 · 17:45A. Robles1.7161291142T. Pucar2.001110118113WAug 10 · 15:45A. Robles2.0061291142T. Pucar1.731110118113LAug 4 · 02:00K. Jha1.301111113T. Pucar3.407870LJul 25 · 15:10H. Calderano1.1011114113T. Pucar6.50951161LJun 29 · 19:35T. Pucar3.4011101161P. Franziska1.3041213113LJun 18 · 17:55T. Pucar2.401011381G. Park1.4812411113LJun 18 · 04:00T. Pucar2.501011381G. Park1.5012411113LJun 13 · 10:10J. Lim1.8311611113T. Pucar1.83711551
Upcoming Matches
M. Karlsson
Nothing scheduled
T. Pucar
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