TT Lossbeater/WTT Europe Smash Sweden
WTT Europe Smash SwedenMatch #12426388
Played Aug 14Finished
Tomislav Pucar
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
711115711119811
Elias Ranefur
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:11 and never touched — 55.6% is still 55.6%
Graded at full timeElias Ranefur to win
55.6%
55.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingTomislav Pucar above · Elias Ranefur below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 91 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Elias Ranefur at 55.6%
91 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:11What took a side3 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Ranefur
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Form (L5)
Pucar 60% vs Ranefur 80%
Ranefur
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pucar 40% vs Ranefur 70%
Ranefur
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Pucar +3 · Ranefur +3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Ranefur) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ranefur form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPucar 1.83 / Ranefur 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Ranefur)+4.0pp
WTT Europe Smash Sweden · #12426388
Pucar1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Ranefur1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricPucarRanefurBasisWin rate · lifetime4 / 10 vs 7 / 1040%70%4 / 10 vs 7 / 10Avg sets wonper match1.72.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RanefurPucar 1.83/Ranefur 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Ranefur · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Ranefur won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
T. Pucar10
WAug 13 · 18:55W. Jang1.228860T. Pucar4.001111113WAug 10 · 17:45A. Robles1.7161291142T. Pucar2.001110118113WAug 10 · 15:45A. Robles2.0061291142T. Pucar1.731110118113LAug 4 · 02:00K. Jha1.301111113T. Pucar3.407870LJul 25 · 15:10H. Calderano1.1011114113T. Pucar6.50951161WJul 24 · 15:10M. Karlsson1.838111181T. Pucar1.8311136113LJun 29 · 19:35T. Pucar3.4011101161P. Franziska1.3041213113LJun 18 · 17:55T. Pucar2.401011381G. Park1.4812411113LJun 18 · 04:00T. Pucar2.501011381G. Park1.5012411113LJun 13 · 10:10J. Lim1.8311611113T. Pucar1.83711551
E. Ranefur10
LAug 22 · 11:20E. Ranefur1.2011791472H. Kwon4.335111112113WAug 21 · 08:00E. Ranefur1.1081111113A. Kurmangaliyev6.50112871LAug 15 · 17:45E. Ranefur4.33911911102S. Matsushima1.20118118123WAug 14 · 10:35E. Ranefur3.25115115113R. Wen1.2671161172WAug 13 · 17:10E. Ranefur3.50115115113R. Wen1.2871161172WAug 10 · 18:20E. Ranefur2.001114113I. Chirita1.7331280LJun 29 · 01:35A. Rassenfosse1.6611711113E. Ranefur2.10811391WJun 28 · 24:30J. Lim1.53641171E. Ranefur2.3811118113WJun 27 · 01:05N. Burgos3.554460E. Ranefur1.241111113LJun 10 · 17:00E. Ranefur1.5391171392Y. Feng2.381191111113
Upcoming Matches
T. Pucar
E. Ranefur
Nothing scheduled
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