TT Lossbeater/WTT Europe Smash Sweden
WTT Europe Smash SwedenMatch #12395407
Played Aug 10Finished
Elias Ranefur
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1131412118––––
Iulian Chirita
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:43 and never touched — 59.7% is still 59.7%
Graded at full timeIulian Chirita to win
59.7%
59.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingElias Ranefur above · Iulian Chirita below
Set 1 · 11-3
Set 2 · 14-12
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 59 set 3, 11-8 — our read held Iulian Chirita at 59.7%
59 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:43What took a side4 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Chirita
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Form (L5)
Ranefur 40% vs Chirita 80%
Chirita
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ranefur 60% vs Chirita 80%
Chirita
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Ranefur -1 · Chirita +4
Chirita
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Chirita) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Chirita form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRanefur 2.00 / Chirita 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Chirita)+0.3pp
WTT Europe Smash Sweden · #12395407
Ranefur2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Chirita1.73
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest89%takes the first set · 8 of 9
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricRanefurChiritaBasisWin rate · lifetime6 / 10 vs 8 / 1060%80%6 / 10 vs 8 / 10Avg sets wonper match2.42.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ChiritaRanefur 2.00/Chirita 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Chirita · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Ranefur won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
E. Ranefur10
LAug 22 · 11:20E. Ranefur1.2011791472H. Kwon4.335111112113WAug 21 · 08:00E. Ranefur1.1081111113A. Kurmangaliyev6.50112871LAug 15 · 17:45E. Ranefur4.33911911102S. Matsushima1.20118118123WAug 14 · 11:20T. Pucar1.8371171182E. Ranefur1.83115119113WAug 14 · 10:35E. Ranefur3.25115115113R. Wen1.2671161172WAug 13 · 17:10E. Ranefur3.50115115113R. Wen1.2871161172LJun 29 · 01:35A. Rassenfosse1.6611711113E. Ranefur2.10811391WJun 28 · 24:30J. Lim1.53641171E. Ranefur2.3811118113WJun 27 · 01:05N. Burgos3.554460E. Ranefur1.241111113LJun 10 · 17:00E. Ranefur1.5391171392Y. Feng2.381191111113
I. Chirita10
WAug 9 · 16:10I. Chirita1.8511115153V. Ursu1.854811131WAug 9 · 10:20M. Freitas1.987960I. Chirita1.681111113WAug 9 · 08:35M. Freitas2.107960I. Chirita1.671111113LJun 29 · 01:00J. Geraldo2.009111011123I. Chirita1.73119124102WJun 28 · 01:40I. Chirita1.56711511113D. Kozul2.2311611582WJun 27 · 17:00A. Robles1.731012121172I. Chirita2.001210148113WJun 26 · 19:55C. Nuytinck2.3876111142I. Chirita1.53111169113LJun 4 · 11:55I. Chirita2.38119771G. Park1.5341111113WJun 3 · 15:35I. Chirita1.401111113L. Devos2.758650WJun 2 · 15:00I. Chirita1.1412711113A. Levenko5.001011291
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.