TT Lossbeater/WTT Feeder Berlin
WTT Feeder BerlinMatch #12465902
Played Aug 21Finished
Elias Ranefur
Home
1.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
811112118117––
Alan Kurmangaliyev
Away
6.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:35 and never touched — 85.5% is still 85.5%
Graded at full timeElias Ranefur to win
85.5%
85.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingElias Ranefur above · Alan Kurmangaliyev below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-2
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 69 set 4, 11-7 — our read held Elias Ranefur at 85.5%
69 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:35What took a side2 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.10 (86%)
Ranefur
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Form (L5)
Ranefur 80% vs Kurmangaliyev 40%
Ranefur
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ranefur 60% vs Kurmangaliyev 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Ranefur -1 · Kurmangaliyev -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 86% — Strong (leans Ranefur)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kurmangaliyev form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (15%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRanefur 1.10 / Kurmangaliyev 6.50
Signal prob.86% / 15%
Edge (Ranefur)-0.0pp
WTT Feeder Berlin · #12465902
Ranefur1.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Kurmangaliyev6.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
44%takes the first set · 4 of 9
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricRanefurKurmangaliyevBasisWin rate · lifetime6 / 10 vs 5 / 1060%50%6 / 10 vs 5 / 10Avg sets wonper match2.51.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RanefurRanefur 1.10/Kurmangaliyev 6.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
85.5%
Ranefur · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Ranefur won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
E. Ranefur10
LAug 22 · 11:20E. Ranefur1.2011791472H. Kwon4.335111112113LAug 15 · 17:45E. Ranefur4.33911911102S. Matsushima1.20118118123WAug 14 · 11:20T. Pucar1.8371171182E. Ranefur1.83115119113WAug 14 · 10:35E. Ranefur3.25115115113R. Wen1.2671161172WAug 13 · 17:10E. Ranefur3.50115115113R. Wen1.2871161172WAug 10 · 18:20E. Ranefur2.001114113I. Chirita1.7331280LJun 29 · 01:35A. Rassenfosse1.6611711113E. Ranefur2.10811391WJun 28 · 24:30J. Lim1.53641171E. Ranefur2.3811118113WJun 27 · 01:05N. Burgos3.554460E. Ranefur1.241111113LJun 10 · 17:00E. Ranefur1.5391171392Y. Feng2.381191111113
A. Kurmangaliyev10
LSep 3 · 05:00S. Togami1.051111113A. Kurmangaliyev8.508670LJun 16 · 16:00A. Kurmangaliyev3.7584100R. Yoshiyama1.251111123WJun 16 · 11:10F. Bourrassaud—91090A. Kurmangaliyev—1112113LMay 13 · 10:20R. Yoshiyama1.1711711113A. Kurmangaliyev4.50611561WMay 12 · 09:55G. Ocal—811671A. Kurmangaliyev—11711113LMay 6 · 12:00A. Kurmangaliyev13.007660T. Harimoto1.011111113WMay 4 · 11:25A. Robles1.17711781A. Kurmangaliyev4.5011911113WApr 30 · 19:10A. Kurmangaliyev1.071111113T. Preechayan7.503790LApr 29 · 20:10O. Assar1.081191110113A. Kurmangaliyev7.0071161292WApr 29 · 19:16M. Elbeiali1.40124481A. Kurmangaliyev2.75101111113
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