TT Lossbeater/ITTF World Team Champs
ITTF World Team ChampsMatch #11819073
Played Apr 29Finished
M Elbeiali
Home
1.40
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
0–2Last 2Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1210411411811––
Alan Kurmangaliyev
Away
2.75
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 4
How it is goingM Elbeiali above · Alan Kurmangaliyev below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 71 set 4, 8-11
71 points played in total.
H2H M Elbeiali 0–1 Alan Kurmangaliyev M Elbeiali has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Elbeiali)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kurmangaliyev form (20%) is below what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsElbeiali 1.40 / Kurmangaliyev 2.75
Signal prob.66% / 34%
Edge (Elbeiali)+0.0pp
ITTF World Team Champs · #11819073
Elbeiali1.40
0%won 0 of 2 · last 10
0%takes the first set · 0 of 2
Kurmangaliyev2.75
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
22%takes the first set · 2 of 9
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeElbeiali0wins
AwayKurmangaliyev1wins
Kurmangaliyev leads 1–0.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricElbeialiKurmangaliyevE − KBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match28.043.0−15.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricElbeialiKurmangaliyevBasisWin rate · lifetime0 / 4 vs 5 / 1527.8%33.3%0 / 4 vs 5 / 15Avg sets wonper match0.81.7per matchAvg pointsper match28.832.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ElbeialiElbeiali 1.40/Kurmangaliyev 2.75
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
66.3%
Elbeiali · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kurmangaliyev won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
L—M. Elbeiali—1A. Kurmangaliyev—3
M. Elbeiali4
A. Kurmangaliyev10
LSep 3 · 05:00S. Togami1.051111113A. Kurmangaliyev8.508670LAug 21 · 08:00E. Ranefur1.1081111113A. Kurmangaliyev6.50112871LJun 16 · 16:00A. Kurmangaliyev3.7584100R. Yoshiyama1.251111123WJun 16 · 11:10F. Bourrassaud—91090A. Kurmangaliyev—1112113LMay 13 · 10:20R. Yoshiyama1.1711711113A. Kurmangaliyev4.50611561WMay 12 · 09:55G. Ocal—811671A. Kurmangaliyev—11711113LMay 6 · 12:00A. Kurmangaliyev13.007660T. Harimoto1.011111113WMay 4 · 11:25A. Robles1.17711781A. Kurmangaliyev4.5011911113WApr 30 · 19:10A. Kurmangaliyev1.071111113T. Preechayan7.503790LApr 29 · 20:10O. Assar1.081191110113A. Kurmangaliyev7.0071161292
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