TT Lossbeater/WTT Europe Smash Sweden
WTT Europe Smash SwedenMatch #12395408
Played Aug 10Finished
Alvaro Robles
Home
1.71
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 5
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
6111210911118411
Tomislav Pucar
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:43 and never touched — 70.7% is still 70.7%
Graded at full timeAlvaro Robles to win
70.7%
70.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingAlvaro Robles above · Tomislav Pucar below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 4-11
Point 93 set 5, 4-11 — our read held Alvaro Robles at 70.7%
93 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:43What took a side4 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.71 (54%)
Robles
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Form (L5)
Robles 100% vs Pucar 20%
Robles
Wrong
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Robles 70% vs Pucar 30%
Robles
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Robles +5 · Pucar -1
Robles
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Robles) · live re-read · sealed at 71% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pucar form (20%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRobles 1.71 / Pucar 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Robles)+0.1pp
WTT Europe Smash Sweden · #12395408
Robles1.71
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest44%takes the first set · 4 of 9
Pucar2.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricRoblesPucarBasisWin rate · lifetime6 / 10 vs 3 / 1060%30%6 / 10 vs 3 / 10Avg sets wonper match2.21.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
Forecastthe model predicts this market
Match Winner
RoblesRobles 1.71/Pucar 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Robles · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Pucar won
Handicap · Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
A. Robles10
LSep 5 · 06:45S. Togami1.14111014113A. Robles5.003121291WSep 4 · 06:10V. Picard2.50981171A. Robles1.5011116113WSep 3 · 05:00A. Naranjo6.5081111632A. Robles1.10118911113LAug 10 · 15:45A. Robles2.0061291142T. Pucar1.731110118113WAug 9 · 19:40C. Kao1.50111071192A. Robles2.40712117113WAug 9 · 19:05N. Artemenko1.4996111142A. Robles2.33111195113WAug 9 · 17:20C. Kao1.28111071192A. Robles3.50712117113WAug 9 · 11:30N. Artemenko1.5396111142A. Robles2.38111195113LJun 27 · 17:00A. Robles1.731012121172I. Chirita2.001210148113LJun 10 · 10:20B. Fang1.2811118113A. Robles3.03591151
T. Pucar10
LAug 14 · 11:20T. Pucar1.8371171182E. Ranefur1.83115119113WAug 13 · 18:55W. Jang1.228860T. Pucar4.001111113WAug 10 · 15:45A. Robles2.0061291142T. Pucar1.731110118113LAug 4 · 02:00K. Jha1.301111113T. Pucar3.407870LJul 25 · 15:10H. Calderano1.1011114113T. Pucar6.50951161WJul 24 · 15:10M. Karlsson1.838111181T. Pucar1.8311136113LJun 29 · 19:35T. Pucar3.4011101161P. Franziska1.3041213113LJun 18 · 17:55T. Pucar2.401011381G. Park1.4812411113LJun 18 · 04:00T. Pucar2.501011381G. Park1.5012411113LJun 13 · 10:10J. Lim1.8311611113T. Pucar1.83711551
Upcoming Matches
A. Robles
Nothing scheduled
T. Pucar
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