TT Lossbeater/WTT Contender Almaty
WTT Contender AlmatyMatch #13072258
Played Sep 4Finished
Vincent Picard
Home
2.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
911811116711––
Alvaro Robles
Away
1.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:54 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAlvaro Robles to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVincent Picard above · Alvaro Robles below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 74 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Alvaro Robles at 54.0%
74 points played in total.
H2H Vincent Picard 0–1 Alvaro Robles Vincent Picard has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:54What took a side2 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Robles
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Form (L5)
Picard 60% vs Robles 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Picard 40% vs Robles 60%
Robles
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Picard +1 · Robles +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Robles) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Picard form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPicard 2.50 / Robles 1.50
Signal prob.38% / 63%
Edge (Robles)+0.0pp
WTT Contender Almaty · #13072258
Picard2.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Robles1.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
33%takes the first set · 3 of 9
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomePicard0wins
AwayRobles1wins
Robles leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricPicardRoblesP − RBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match35.039.0−4.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPicardRoblesBasisWin rate · lifetime4 / 10 vs 6 / 1040%60%4 / 10 vs 6 / 10Avg sets wonper match1.82.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RoblesPicard 2.50/Robles 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.5%
Robles · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Robles won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LSep 4 · 06:10V. Picard—981171A. Robles—11116113
V. Picard10
WSep 3 · 07:55V. Picard1.221191110113I. Artukmetov4.0021181252LJul 22 · 21:45F. Olivares8.001111116133V. Picard1.06913611112WJul 22 · 14:35D. Toma—9990V. Picard—1111113LJul 11 · 21:50G. Teodoro2.7011111311113V. Picard1.3991315792WJul 11 · 16:20V. Picard1.3051111123A. Naranjo3.401173101WJul 10 · 15:20V. Picard1.011111113B. Botha13.007850LJul 3 · 09:55J. Hung1.501111113V. Picard2.509990LJul 3 · 08:35J. Hung1.471111113V. Picard2.399990LMay 22 · 10:55V. Picard—811631Y. Lin—11611113LMay 22 · 08:00V. Picard1.57811631Y. Lin2.2511611113
A. Robles10
LSep 5 · 06:45S. Togami1.14111014113A. Robles5.003121291WSep 3 · 05:00A. Naranjo6.5081111632A. Robles1.10118911113LAug 10 · 17:45A. Robles1.7161291142T. Pucar2.001110118113LAug 10 · 15:45A. Robles2.0061291142T. Pucar1.731110118113WAug 9 · 19:40C. Kao1.50111071192A. Robles2.40712117113WAug 9 · 19:05N. Artemenko1.4996111142A. Robles2.33111195113WAug 9 · 17:20C. Kao1.28111071192A. Robles3.50712117113WAug 9 · 11:30N. Artemenko1.5396111142A. Robles2.38111195113LJun 27 · 17:00A. Robles1.731012121172I. Chirita2.001210148113LJun 10 · 10:20B. Fang1.2811118113A. Robles3.03591151
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