TT Lossbeater/WTT Contender Almaty
WTT Contender AlmatyMatch #13065431
Played Sep 3Finished
Angel Naranjo
Home
6.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
811118119611311
Alvaro Robles
Away
1.10
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:39 and never touched — 85.5% is still 85.5%
Graded at full timeAlvaro Robles to win
85.5%
85.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAngel Naranjo above · Alvaro Robles below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 6-11
Set 5 · 3-11
Point 89 set 5, 3-11 — our read held Alvaro Robles at 85.5%
89 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:39What took a side3 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.10 (86%)
Robles
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Form (L5)
Naranjo 40% vs Robles 60%
Robles
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Naranjo 40% vs Robles 60%
Robles
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Naranjo -1 · Robles -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 86% — Strong (leans Robles)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Robles form (60%) is below what odds imply (91%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNaranjo 6.50 / Robles 1.10
Signal prob.15% / 86%
Edge (Robles)-0.0pp
WTT Contender Almaty · #13065431
Naranjo6.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Robles1.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest33%takes the first set · 3 of 9
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricNaranjoRoblesBasisWin rate · lifetime4 / 10 vs 5 / 1040%50%4 / 10 vs 5 / 10Avg sets wonper match1.62.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RoblesNaranjo 6.50/Robles 1.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
85.5%
Robles · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Robles won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
A. Naranjo10
LJul 22 · 21:50A. Naranjo1.53151199102A. Sarmento2.381381111123WJul 22 · 14:35A. Naranjo—1111113B. Panini—7770LJul 11 · 16:20V. Picard1.3051111123A. Naranjo3.401173101WJul 10 · 15:40E. Rios—11931132A. Naranjo—811119113LJun 17 · 20:15A. Naranjo5.506350L. Yuan1.131111113LJun 17 · 16:55A. Naranjo4.506350L. Yuan1.171111113WJun 17 · 10:45A. Naranjo5.50117511113Y. Wang1.1371111972WJun 16 · 11:35K. Hamada1.139115101A. Naranjo5.5011911123LJun 9 · 14:45S. Lam1.2211611113A. Naranjo4.00711881LJun 2 · 16:45L. Mladenovic1.081111113A. Naranjo5.905930
A. Robles10
LSep 5 · 06:45S. Togami1.14111014113A. Robles5.003121291WSep 4 · 06:10V. Picard2.50981171A. Robles1.5011116113LAug 10 · 17:45A. Robles1.7161291142T. Pucar2.001110118113LAug 10 · 15:45A. Robles2.0061291142T. Pucar1.731110118113WAug 9 · 19:40C. Kao1.50111071192A. Robles2.40712117113WAug 9 · 19:05N. Artemenko1.4996111142A. Robles2.33111195113WAug 9 · 17:20C. Kao1.28111071192A. Robles3.50712117113WAug 9 · 11:30N. Artemenko1.5396111142A. Robles2.38111195113LJun 27 · 17:00A. Robles1.731012121172I. Chirita2.001210148113LJun 10 · 10:20B. Fang1.2811118113A. Robles3.03591151
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.