TT Lossbeater/WTT Contender Almaty
WTT Contender AlmatyMatch #13077937
Played Sep 5Finished
Shunsuke Togami
Home
1.14
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
11310121412119––
Alvaro Robles
Away
5.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:19 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeShunsuke Togami to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingShunsuke Togami above · Alvaro Robles below
Set 1 · 11-3
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 14-12
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 82 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Shunsuke Togami at 54.0%
82 points played in total.
H2H Shunsuke Togami 1–0 Alvaro Robles Alvaro Robles has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:19What took a side2 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.14 (81%)
Togami
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Form (L5)
Togami 80% vs Robles 60%
Togami
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Togami 60% vs Robles 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Togami +2 · Robles +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 81% — Strong (leans Togami) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Robles form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (20%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTogami 1.14 / Robles 5.00
Signal prob.81% / 19%
Edge (Togami)-0.0pp
WTT Contender Almaty · #13077937
Togami1.14
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Robles5.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest44%takes the first set · 4 of 9
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeTogami1wins
AwayRobles0wins
Togami leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricTogamiRoblesT − RBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match46.036.0+10.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTogamiRoblesBasisWin rate · lifetime10 / 10 vs 6 / 10100%60%10 / 10 vs 6 / 10Avg sets wonper match3.12.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TogamiTogami 1.14/Robles 5.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
81.4%
Togami · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Togami won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 5 · 06:45S. Togami—111014113A. Robles—3121291
S. Togami10
WSep 6 · 07:30S. Togami1.40121111114S. Gauzy2.75108370WSep 5 · 12:45S. Togami1.171111113K. Hamada4.409870WSep 4 · 11:35S. Togami1.101111123F. Bourrassaud6.5066100WSep 3 · 05:00S. Togami1.051111113A. Kurmangaliyev8.508670LAug 14 · 18:05S. Togami2.631211101192T. Harimoto1.44147129103WAug 13 · 17:45S. Togami1.251111113K. Karlsson3.759660WAug 10 · 17:10S. Togami1.221511113C. Wong4.0013370LAug 4 · 10:05B. Duda3.35611119113S. Togami1.2811761162LAug 4 · 02:00B. Duda4.00611119113S. Togami1.2211761162LJul 25 · 20:35J. An2.70111011133S. Togami1.405127111
A. Robles10
WSep 4 · 06:10V. Picard2.50981171A. Robles1.5011116113WSep 3 · 05:00A. Naranjo6.5081111632A. Robles1.10118911113LAug 10 · 17:45A. Robles1.7161291142T. Pucar2.001110118113LAug 10 · 15:45A. Robles2.0061291142T. Pucar1.731110118113WAug 9 · 19:40C. Kao1.50111071192A. Robles2.40712117113WAug 9 · 19:05N. Artemenko1.4996111142A. Robles2.33111195113WAug 9 · 17:20C. Kao1.28111071192A. Robles3.50712117113WAug 9 · 11:30N. Artemenko1.5396111142A. Robles2.38111195113LJun 27 · 17:00A. Robles1.731012121172I. Chirita2.001210148113LJun 10 · 10:20B. Fang1.2811118113A. Robles3.03591151
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