TT Lossbeater/WTT Europe Smash Sweden
WTT Europe Smash SwedenMatch #12425264
Played Aug 14Finished
Shunsuke Togami
Home
2.63
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
12141171012119910
Tomokazu Harimoto
Away
1.44
At publish
Won last 8Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 8
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:11 and never touched — 63.2% is still 63.2%
Graded at full timeTomokazu Harimoto to win
63.2%
63.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingShunsuke Togami above · Tomokazu Harimoto below
Set 1 · 12-14
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 9-10
Point 105 set 5, 9-10 — our read held Tomokazu Harimoto at 63.2%
105 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:11What took a side4 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Harimoto
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Form (L5)
Togami 40% vs Harimoto 100%
Harimoto
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Togami 60% vs Harimoto 90%
Harimoto
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Togami +2 · Harimoto +5
Harimoto
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Harimoto) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Harimoto form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTogami 2.63 / Harimoto 1.44
Signal prob.36% / 65%
Edge (Harimoto)-0.0pp
WTT Europe Smash Sweden · #12425264
Togami2.63
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Harimoto1.44
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 8
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricTogamiHarimotoBasisWin rate · lifetime6 / 10 vs 9 / 1060%90%6 / 10 vs 9 / 10Avg sets wonper match2.63.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HarimotoTogami 2.63/Harimoto 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.5%
Harimoto · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Harimoto won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
S. Togami10
WSep 6 · 07:30S. Togami1.40121111114S. Gauzy2.75108370WSep 5 · 12:45S. Togami1.171111113K. Hamada4.409870WSep 5 · 06:45S. Togami1.14111014113A. Robles5.003121291WSep 4 · 11:35S. Togami1.101111123F. Bourrassaud6.5066100WSep 3 · 05:00S. Togami1.051111113A. Kurmangaliyev8.508670WAug 13 · 17:45S. Togami1.251111113K. Karlsson3.759660WAug 10 · 17:10S. Togami1.221511113C. Wong4.0013370LAug 4 · 10:05B. Duda3.35611119113S. Togami1.2811761162LAug 4 · 02:00B. Duda4.00611119113S. Togami1.2211761162LJul 25 · 20:35J. An2.70111011133S. Togami1.405127111
T. Harimoto10
LAug 16 · 17:00F. Lebrun1.831111511104T. Harimoto1.835811991WAug 16 · 11:30T. Harimoto1.2811711694S. Matsushima3.50611411113WAug 15 · 12:15A. Lebrun3.509711130T. Harimoto1.28111113154WAug 13 · 16:35Y. Uda4.005950T. Harimoto1.221111113WAug 12 · 16:35M. Thakkar8.509860T. Harimoto1.051111113WAug 9 · 10:15T. Harimoto1.267111111114J. Oh3.351174871WAug 9 · 04:45S. Matsushima2.5049111752T. Harimoto1.501111815114WAug 8 · 11:00T. Harimoto1.50191111114A. Lebrun2.50179490WAug 7 · 08:30T. Harimoto1.251111113P. Xiang3.757880WAug 5 · 10:05T. Harimoto1.021111113N. Lum15.003650
Upcoming Matches
S. Togami
T. Harimoto
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