TT Lossbeater/WTT Champions Yokohama
WTT Champions YokohamaMatch #12382565
Played Aug 9Finished
Sora Matsushima
Home
2.50
At publish
Won last 10Form at publish
10–0Last 10Won last 10
Final
2 – 4
Set by set
4119111181715511911
Tomokazu Harimoto
Away
1.50
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:49 and never touched — 54.3% is still 54.3%
Graded at full timeSora Matsushima to win
54.3%
54.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingSora Matsushima above · Tomokazu Harimoto below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 17-15
Set 5 · 5-11
Set 6 · 9-11
Point 122 set 6, 9-11 — our read held Sora Matsushima at 54.3%
122 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:49What took a side2 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Harimoto
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Form (L5)
Matsushima 100% vs Harimoto 80%
Matsushima
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Matsushima 100% vs Harimoto 80%
Matsushima
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Matsushima +5 · Harimoto +4
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Harimoto) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Harimoto form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMatsushima 2.50 / Harimoto 1.50
Signal prob.38% / 63%
Edge (Harimoto)+0.0pp
WTT Champions Yokohama · #12382565
Matsushima2.50
100%won 10 of 10 · last 10
Won last 10
oldest → newest90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
Harimoto1.50
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricMatsushimaHarimotoBasisWin rate · lifetime10 / 10 vs 8 / 10100%80%10 / 10 vs 8 / 10Avg sets wonper match3.52.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HarimotoMatsushima 2.50/Harimoto 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.5%
Harimoto · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–4
Harimoto won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
S. Matsushima10
LAug 16 · 11:30T. Harimoto1.2811711694S. Matsushima3.50611411113WAug 15 · 17:45E. Ranefur4.33911911102S. Matsushima1.20118118123WAug 14 · 16:35Q. Zhou3.0011971192S. Matsushima1.36511116113WAug 13 · 18:20Y. Feng7.50111141162S. Matsushima1.07135112113WAug 12 · 16:35S. Gnanasekaran9.00611651S. Matsushima1.0411811113WAug 8 · 04:15S. Matsushima1.281011111104W. Jang3.50129118123WAug 6 · 05:00S. Matsushima1.131112113A. Lind5.5091070WAug 4 · 02:00S. Matsushima1.1714119113Q. Zhou4.501291191WJul 6 · 03:00S. Matsushima1.281111111154V. Sidorenko3.5051374112WJul 5 · 20:30S. Matsushima1.9612111012124F. Lebrun1.701071210101
T. Harimoto10
LAug 16 · 17:00F. Lebrun1.831111511104T. Harimoto1.835811991WAug 16 · 11:30T. Harimoto1.2811711694S. Matsushima3.50611411113WAug 15 · 12:15A. Lebrun3.509711130T. Harimoto1.28111113154WAug 14 · 18:05S. Togami2.631211101192T. Harimoto1.44147129103WAug 13 · 16:35Y. Uda4.005950T. Harimoto1.221111113WAug 12 · 16:35M. Thakkar8.509860T. Harimoto1.051111113WAug 9 · 10:15T. Harimoto1.267111111114J. Oh3.351174871WAug 8 · 11:00T. Harimoto1.50191111114A. Lebrun2.50179490WAug 7 · 08:30T. Harimoto1.251111113P. Xiang3.757880WAug 5 · 10:05T. Harimoto1.021111113N. Lum15.003650
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