TT Lossbeater/WTT Europe Smash Sweden
WTT Europe Smash SwedenMatch #12425904
Played Aug 14Finished
Qihao Zhou
Home
3.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
115911711116911
Sora Matsushima
Away
1.36
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:41 and never touched — 62.4% is still 62.4%
Graded at full timeSora Matsushima to win
62.4%
62.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingQihao Zhou above · Sora Matsushima below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-6
Set 5 · 9-9
Point 89 set 5, 9-9 — our read held Sora Matsushima at 62.4%
89 points drawn · the score is 2 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:41What took a side3 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Matsushima
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Form (L5)
Zhou 40% vs Matsushima 80%
Matsushima
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zhou 40% vs Matsushima 90%
Matsushima
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zhou +2 · Matsushima +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Matsushima) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZhou 3.00 / Matsushima 1.36
Signal prob.31% / 69%
Edge (Matsushima)+0.0pp
WTT Europe Smash Sweden · #12425904
Zhou3.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Matsushima1.36
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricZhouMatsushimaBasisWin rate · lifetime4 / 10 vs 9 / 1040%90%4 / 10 vs 9 / 10Avg sets wonper match1.83.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MatsushimaZhou 3.00/Matsushima 1.36
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
68.8%
Matsushima · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Matsushima won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
Q. Zhou10
WAug 13 · 18:20A. Kallberg2.38121191192Q. Zhou1.53145118103WAug 10 · 16:35J. An1.83126771Q. Zhou1.83101111113LAug 4 · 02:00S. Matsushima1.1714119113Q. Zhou4.501291191LJun 29 · 01:35C. Wang1.071115113Q. Zhou7.5061330LMay 2 · 19:40Q. Zhou1.409911181J. An2.7511118203LApr 1 · 13:45P. Franziska1.80611112103Q. Zhou1.9111861162WMar 30 · 01:40Q. Zhou1.2011911113R. Kawakami4.33711891LMar 13 · 03:35Y. Lin1.4411116113Q. Zhou2.63351171WMar 10 · 03:35Q. Zhou1.3612116113Y. Huang3.001061191LFeb 24 · 05:45F. Coton2.75121111113Q. Zhou1.40146371
S. Matsushima10
LAug 16 · 11:30T. Harimoto1.2811711694S. Matsushima3.50611411113WAug 15 · 17:45E. Ranefur4.33911911102S. Matsushima1.20118118123WAug 13 · 18:20Y. Feng7.50111141162S. Matsushima1.07135112113WAug 12 · 16:35S. Gnanasekaran9.00611651S. Matsushima1.0411811113LAug 9 · 04:45S. Matsushima2.5049111752T. Harimoto1.501111815114WAug 8 · 04:15S. Matsushima1.281011111104W. Jang3.50129118123WAug 6 · 05:00S. Matsushima1.131112113A. Lind5.5091070WAug 4 · 02:00S. Matsushima1.1714119113Q. Zhou4.501291191WJul 6 · 03:00S. Matsushima1.281111111154V. Sidorenko3.5051374112WJul 5 · 20:30S. Matsushima1.9612111012124F. Lebrun1.701071210101
Upcoming Matches
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