TT Lossbeater/WTT Europe Smash Sweden
WTT Europe Smash SwedenMatch #12443835
Played Aug 16Finished
Felix Lebrun
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 5
Final
4 – 1
Set by set
115118511119109
Tomokazu Harimoto
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 10Form at publish
10–0Last 10Won last 10
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:11 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeFelix Lebrun to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingFelix Lebrun above · Tomokazu Harimoto below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 10-9
Point 90 set 5, 10-9 — our read held Felix Lebrun at 54.0%
90 points played in total.
H2H Felix Lebrun 1–0 Tomokazu Harimoto Tomokazu Harimoto has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:11What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Harimoto
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Lebrun 2216 vs Harimoto 2012
Lebrun
Correct
both rated, 204 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lebrun 100% vs Harimoto 100%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lebrun 70% vs Harimoto 100%
Harimoto
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Lebrun +5 · Harimoto +5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Lebrun)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Harimoto form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLebrun 1.83 / Harimoto 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Lebrun)+4.0pp
WTT Europe Smash Sweden · #12443835
Lebrun1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
Harimoto1.83
100%won 10 of 10 · last 10
Won last 10
oldest → newest90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeLebrun1wins
AwayHarimoto0wins
1 of 1 to a deciderLebrun leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
This 1 meeting
MetricLebrunHarimotoL − HBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match48.042.0+6.0per match
Career, not this matchup
MetricLebrunHarimotoBasisWin rate · lifetime6 / 6 vs 5 / 6100%83.3%6 / 6 vs 5 / 6Avg sets wonper match3.53.0per matchAvg pointsper match42.246.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LebrunLebrun 1.83/Harimoto 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Lebrun · sealed before the serve
What happened
4–1
Lebrun won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WAug 16 · 17:00F. Lebrun—1111511104T. Harimoto—5811991
F. Lebrun10
WAug 16 · 12:15D. Jorgic4.3355850F. Lebrun1.20111111114WAug 15 · 19:15F. Lebrun1.441611811114H. Calderano2.6314711451WAug 14 · 18:05F. Lebrun1.171111103T. Poret4.502440WAug 13 · 17:10F. Lebrun1.10111193G. Park6.509840WAug 12 · 10:35F. Lebrun1.0311118113E. Ionescu10.00451141LAug 8 · 08:30H. Shinozuka4.00812119114F. Lebrun1.22111081172WAug 6 · 05:00B. Duda4.509690F. Lebrun1.171111113WAug 4 · 02:00F. Coton4.504750F. Lebrun1.171111113LJul 5 · 20:30S. Matsushima1.9612111012124F. Lebrun1.701071210101LJul 5 · 17:30S. Matsushima2.0012111012124F. Lebrun1.731071210101
T. Harimoto10
WAug 16 · 11:30T. Harimoto1.2811711694S. Matsushima3.50611411113WAug 15 · 12:15A. Lebrun3.509711130T. Harimoto1.28111113154WAug 14 · 18:05S. Togami2.631211101192T. Harimoto1.44147129103WAug 13 · 16:35Y. Uda4.005950T. Harimoto1.221111113WAug 12 · 16:35M. Thakkar8.509860T. Harimoto1.051111113WAug 9 · 10:15T. Harimoto1.267111111114J. Oh3.351174871WAug 9 · 04:45S. Matsushima2.5049111752T. Harimoto1.501111815114WAug 8 · 11:00T. Harimoto1.50191111114A. Lebrun2.50179490WAug 7 · 08:30T. Harimoto1.251111113P. Xiang3.757880WAug 5 · 10:05T. Harimoto1.021111113N. Lum15.003650
Upcoming Matches
F. Lebrun
Nothing scheduled
T. Harimoto
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.