TT Lossbeater/WTT Europe Smash Sweden
WTT Europe Smash SwedenMatch #12393001
Played Aug 12Finished
Felix Lebrun
Home
1.03
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
114115811114––
Eduard Ionescu
Away
10.00
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 24:03 and never touched — 59.7% is still 59.7%
Graded at full timeFelix Lebrun to win
59.7%
59.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingFelix Lebrun above · Eduard Ionescu below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-4
Point 65 set 4, 11-4 — our read held Felix Lebrun at 59.7%
65 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 24:03What took a side3 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.03 (91%)
Lebrun
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Form (L5)
Lebrun 40% vs Ionescu 20%
Lebrun
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lebrun 60% vs Ionescu 30%
Lebrun
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Lebrun -1 · Ionescu -4
Ionescu
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 91% — Strong (leans Lebrun) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lebrun form (40%) is below what odds imply (97%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLebrun 1.03 / Ionescu 10.00
Signal prob.91% / 9%
Edge (Lebrun)+0.0pp
WTT Europe Smash Sweden · #12393001
Lebrun1.03
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Ionescu10.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricLebrunIonescuBasisWin rate · lifetime6 / 10 vs 3 / 1060%30%6 / 10 vs 3 / 10Avg sets wonper match2.41.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LebrunLebrun 1.03/Ionescu 10.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
90.7%
Lebrun · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Lebrun won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
F. Lebrun10
WAug 16 · 17:00F. Lebrun1.831111511104T. Harimoto1.835811991WAug 16 · 12:15D. Jorgic4.3355850F. Lebrun1.20111111114WAug 15 · 19:15F. Lebrun1.441611811114H. Calderano2.6314711451WAug 14 · 18:05F. Lebrun1.171111103T. Poret4.502440WAug 13 · 17:10F. Lebrun1.10111193G. Park6.509840LAug 8 · 08:30H. Shinozuka4.00812119114F. Lebrun1.22111081172WAug 6 · 05:00B. Duda4.509690F. Lebrun1.171111113WAug 4 · 02:00F. Coton4.504750F. Lebrun1.171111113LJul 5 · 20:30S. Matsushima1.9612111012124F. Lebrun1.701071210101LJul 5 · 17:30S. Matsushima2.0012111012124F. Lebrun1.731071210101
E. Ionescu10
LJun 29 · 19:00E. Ionescu1.7311761482L. Bardet2.007111112113LJun 18 · 04:00E. Ionescu1.839960J. Hung1.831111113LJun 11 · 16:10E. Ionescu1.53114641A. Bhattacharjee2.3891111113LJun 6 · 10:45A. Lind1.6741111113E. Ionescu2.10116941WJun 4 · 16:40M. Kim2.2098100E. Ionescu1.611111123LMay 6 · 10:45E. Ionescu8.50811341C. Wang1.0511811113WMay 6 · 09:00E. Ionescu4.501111113J. Liang1.175760LMay 4 · 17:40M. Redzimski1.677101111113E. Ionescu2.1011129542LMay 4 · 16:26M. Badowski2.201111113E. Ionescu1.618280WApr 29 · 18:40E. Ionescu1.3011138113F. Sanchi3.406111191
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