TT Lossbeater/WTT Europe Smash Sweden
WTT Europe Smash SwedenMatch #12441489
Played Aug 16Finished
Darko Jorgic
Home
4.33
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 4
Final
0 – 4
Set by set
511511811511––
Felix Lebrun
Away
1.20
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:41 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDarko Jorgic to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingDarko Jorgic above · Felix Lebrun below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 5-11
Point 67 set 4, 5-11 — our read held Darko Jorgic at 54.0%
67 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:41What took a side0 for · 1 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.20 (78%)
Lebrun
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Form (L5)
Jorgic 80% vs Lebrun 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jorgic 80% vs Lebrun 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Jorgic +4 · Lebrun +4
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 78% — Strong (leans Lebrun) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jorgic form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (23%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJorgic 4.33 / Lebrun 1.20
Signal prob.22% / 78%
Edge (Lebrun)-0.0pp
WTT Europe Smash Sweden · #12441489
Jorgic4.33
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Lebrun1.20
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricJorgicLebrunBasisWin rate · lifetime8 / 10 vs 7 / 1080%70%8 / 10 vs 7 / 10Avg sets wonper match2.62.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LebrunJorgic 4.33/Lebrun 1.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
78.3%
Lebrun · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–4
Lebrun won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
D. Jorgic10
WAug 15 · 10:45D. Jorgic1.221211111084O. Assar4.00109712112WAug 14 · 12:05D. Ovtcharov2.387116101D. Jorgic1.5311811123WAug 13 · 11:10C. Nuytinck4.3398110D. Jorgic1.201111133WAug 11 · 12:20D. Kozul4.33931181D. Jorgic1.2011115113LAug 7 · 11:05D. Jorgic3.75110381A. Lebrun1.2591111113WAug 5 · 03:45M. Thakkar3.8511861162D. Jorgic1.23911117113WAug 4 · 02:00M. Thakkar4.0011861162D. Jorgic1.22911117113LJul 25 · 21:45D. Jorgic1.444760Y. Uda2.631111113WJul 25 · 14:00D. Jorgic1.251111113T. Jarvis3.757650WJul 24 · 20:00D. Jorgic1.0811811113G. Teodoro7.00511781
F. Lebrun10
WAug 16 · 17:00F. Lebrun1.831111511104T. Harimoto1.835811991WAug 15 · 19:15F. Lebrun1.441611811114H. Calderano2.6314711451WAug 14 · 18:05F. Lebrun1.171111103T. Poret4.502440WAug 13 · 17:10F. Lebrun1.10111193G. Park6.509840WAug 12 · 10:35F. Lebrun1.0311118113E. Ionescu10.00451141LAug 8 · 08:30H. Shinozuka4.00812119114F. Lebrun1.22111081172WAug 6 · 05:00B. Duda4.509690F. Lebrun1.171111113WAug 4 · 02:00F. Coton4.504750F. Lebrun1.171111113LJul 5 · 20:30S. Matsushima1.9612111012124F. Lebrun1.701071210101LJul 5 · 17:30S. Matsushima2.0012111012124F. Lebrun1.731071210101
Upcoming Matches
D. Jorgic
F. Lebrun
Nothing scheduled
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