TT Lossbeater/WTT Europe Smash Sweden
WTT Europe Smash SwedenMatch #12424873
Played Aug 14Finished
Dimitrij Ovtcharov
Home
2.38
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
7111186111012––
Darko Jorgic
Away
1.53
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:25 and never touched — 55.4% is still 55.4%
Graded at full timeDarko Jorgic to win
55.4%
55.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDimitrij Ovtcharov above · Darko Jorgic below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 10-12
Point 76 set 4, 10-12 — our read held Darko Jorgic at 55.4%
76 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 17:25What took a side3 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Jorgic
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Form (L5)
Ovtcharov 60% vs Jorgic 80%
Jorgic
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ovtcharov 50% vs Jorgic 70%
Jorgic
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Ovtcharov +2 · Jorgic +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Jorgic) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jorgic form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOvtcharov 2.38 / Jorgic 1.53
Signal prob.39% / 61%
Edge (Jorgic)+0.0pp
WTT Europe Smash Sweden · #12424873
Ovtcharov2.38
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Jorgic1.53
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricOvtcharovJorgicBasisWin rate · lifetime5 / 10 vs 7 / 1050%70%5 / 10 vs 7 / 10Avg sets wonper match1.92.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JorgicOvtcharov 2.38/Jorgic 1.53
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.8%
Jorgic · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Jorgic won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
D. Ovtcharov10
WAug 13 · 16:35D. Ovtcharov2.381111113J. Oh1.535760WAug 11 · 17:10T. Moregard1.149380D. Ovtcharov5.001111113LJun 30 · 20:45D. Qiu1.5771114113D. Ovtcharov2.251181291WJun 29 · 20:45J. Seyfried2.38115751D. Ovtcharov1.5391111113LJun 20 · 15:35S. Togami1.651111113D. Ovtcharov2.079370WJun 20 · 10:45D. Ovtcharov1.806101111113Y. Uda1.9111128392WJun 19 · 16:10D. Ovtcharov1.4411811133J. Seyfried2.632119111LJun 11 · 16:45D. Ovtcharov1.536111041J. Lim2.3811812113LMay 2 · 19:27D. Ovtcharov2.50136561A. Lebrun1.50111111113LApr 3 · 03:45D. Jorgic1.5711111110114D. Ovtcharov2.258581291
D. Jorgic10
LAug 16 · 12:15D. Jorgic4.3355850F. Lebrun1.20111111114WAug 15 · 10:45D. Jorgic1.221211111084O. Assar4.00109712112WAug 13 · 11:10C. Nuytinck4.3398110D. Jorgic1.201111133WAug 11 · 12:20D. Kozul4.33931181D. Jorgic1.2011115113LAug 7 · 11:05D. Jorgic3.75110381A. Lebrun1.2591111113WAug 5 · 03:45M. Thakkar3.8511861162D. Jorgic1.23911117113WAug 4 · 02:00M. Thakkar4.0011861162D. Jorgic1.22911117113LJul 25 · 21:45D. Jorgic1.444760Y. Uda2.631111113WJul 25 · 14:00D. Jorgic1.251111113T. Jarvis3.757650WApr 3 · 03:45D. Jorgic1.5711111110114D. Ovtcharov2.258581291
Upcoming Matches
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D. Jorgic
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