TT Lossbeater/WTT United States Smash
WTT United States SmashMatch #12124402
Played Jun 30Finished
Dang Qiu
Home
1.57
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
7111181412119––
Dimitrij Ovtcharov
Away
2.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingDang Qiu above · Dimitrij Ovtcharov below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 14-12
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 83 set 4, 11-9
83 points played in total.
H2H Dang Qiu 1–0 Dimitrij Ovtcharov Dimitrij Ovtcharov has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Qiu)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ovtcharov form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsQiu 1.57 / Ovtcharov 2.25
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Qiu)-0.0pp
WTT United States Smash · #12124402
Qiu1.57
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Ovtcharov2.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeQiu1wins
AwayOvtcharov0wins
Qiu leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricQiuOvtcharovQ − OBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match43.040.0+3.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricQiuOvtcharovBasisWin rate · lifetime7 / 10 vs 5 / 1070%50%7 / 10 vs 5 / 10Avg sets wonper match2.52.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
QiuQiu 1.57/Ovtcharov 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.9%
Qiu · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Qiu won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WJun 30 · 20:45D. Qiu—71114113D. Ovtcharov—1181291
D. Qiu10
LAug 11 · 16:35D. Qiu1.075720C. Andras7.501111113LAug 8 · 02:45D. Qiu1.401111107113J. Oh2.7557121194WAug 7 · 03:45D. Qiu1.441112113K. Jha2.6381060WAug 4 · 02:00D. Qiu1.5071111133J. An2.501198111LJul 2 · 20:45D. Qiu2.3813990S. Matsushima1.531511113WJun 30 · 01:35D. Qiu1.131111113C. Andras5.503820LJun 21 · 09:40D. Qiu1.7098111292S. Togami1.961111510113WJun 20 · 16:45G. Kuo3.0095110D. Qiu1.361111133WJun 20 · 09:00C. Wong3.75718100D. Qiu1.251120123WJun 19 · 10:10Y. Feng3.507121271D. Qiu1.28111410113
D. Ovtcharov10
LAug 14 · 12:05D. Ovtcharov2.387116101D. Jorgic1.5311811123WAug 13 · 16:35D. Ovtcharov2.381111113J. Oh1.535760WAug 11 · 17:10T. Moregard1.149380D. Ovtcharov5.001111113WJun 29 · 20:45J. Seyfried2.38115751D. Ovtcharov1.5391111113LJun 20 · 15:35S. Togami1.651111113D. Ovtcharov2.079370WJun 20 · 10:45D. Ovtcharov1.806101111113Y. Uda1.9111128392WJun 19 · 16:10D. Ovtcharov1.4411811133J. Seyfried2.632119111LJun 11 · 16:45D. Ovtcharov1.536111041J. Lim2.3811812113LMay 2 · 19:27D. Ovtcharov2.50136561A. Lebrun1.50111111113LApr 3 · 03:45D. Jorgic1.5711111110114D. Ovtcharov2.258581291
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