TT Lossbeater/WTT Europe Smash Sweden
WTT Europe Smash SwedenMatch #12394005
Played Aug 11Finished
Deni Kozul
Home
4.33
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 4
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
911311115811––
Darko Jorgic
Away
1.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 02:05 and never touched — 55.3% is still 55.3%
Graded at full timeDeni Kozul to win
55.3%
55.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingDeni Kozul above · Darko Jorgic below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 3-11
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 69 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Deni Kozul at 55.3%
69 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 02:05What took a side3 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.20 (78%)
Jorgic
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Form (L5)
Kozul 80% vs Jorgic 60%
Kozul
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kozul 80% vs Jorgic 60%
Kozul
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kozul +4 · Jorgic -1
Kozul
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 78% — Strong (leans Jorgic) · live re-read · sealed at 45% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jorgic form (60%) is below what odds imply (83%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKozul 4.33 / Jorgic 1.20
Signal prob.22% / 78%
Edge (Jorgic)-0.0pp
WTT Europe Smash Sweden · #12394005
Kozul4.33
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
Jorgic1.20
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricKozulJorgicBasisWin rate · lifetime8 / 10 vs 6 / 1080%60%8 / 10 vs 6 / 10Avg sets wonper match2.62.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JorgicKozul 4.33/Jorgic 1.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
78.3%
Jorgic · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Jorgic won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
D. Kozul10
LAug 28 · 16:15D. Kozul2.63114561A. Bhattacharjee1.4491111113WAug 28 · 09:45D. Dorcescu4.00913751D. Kozul1.22111111113WAug 27 · 16:50D. Kozul1.2261111123M. Andersen3.751169101WAug 27 · 16:50D. Kozul1.2061111113M. Buch4.331169101WAug 27 · 10:20D. Kozul1.3611128113Y. Yu3.005101151WAug 26 · 17:25D. Kozul1.351111123R. Heras2.9058100WAug 9 · 20:50D. Kozul5.551111113G. Park1.107960WAug 9 · 17:55D. Kozul6.001111103G. Park1.117960WAug 9 · 12:05D. Kozul1.30111011113A. Levenko3.40912891WAug 8 · 14:45T. Apolonia1.3631D. Kozul3.0043
D. Jorgic10
LAug 16 · 12:15D. Jorgic4.3355850F. Lebrun1.20111111114WAug 15 · 10:45D. Jorgic1.221211111084O. Assar4.00109712112WAug 14 · 12:05D. Ovtcharov2.387116101D. Jorgic1.5311811123WAug 13 · 11:10C. Nuytinck4.3398110D. Jorgic1.201111133LAug 7 · 11:05D. Jorgic3.75110381A. Lebrun1.2591111113WAug 5 · 03:45M. Thakkar3.8511861162D. Jorgic1.23911117113WAug 4 · 02:00M. Thakkar4.0011861162D. Jorgic1.22911117113LJul 25 · 21:45D. Jorgic1.444760Y. Uda2.631111113WJul 25 · 14:00D. Jorgic1.251111113T. Jarvis3.757650WJul 24 · 20:00D. Jorgic1.0811811113G. Teodoro7.00511781
Upcoming Matches
D. Kozul
Nothing scheduled
D. Jorgic
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