TT Lossbeater/WTT Feeder Olomouc
WTT Feeder OlomoucMatch #13030280
Played Aug 27Finished
Deni Kozul
Home
1.20
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
6111161191110––
Martin Buch
Away
4.33
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
5–1Last 6Won last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:50 and never touched — 78.3% is still 78.3%
Graded at full timeDeni Kozul to win
78.3%
78.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDeni Kozul above · Martin Buch below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-10
Point 75 set 4, 11-10 — our read held Deni Kozul at 78.3%
75 points played in total.
H2H Deni Kozul 1–0 Martin Buch Martin Buch has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:50What took a side1 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.20 (78%)
Kozul
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Form (L5)
Kozul 80% vs Buch 100%
Buch
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kozul 80% vs Buch 83%
—
Too close
3pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kozul +2 · Buch +5
Buch
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 78% — Strong (leans Kozul)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Buch form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (23%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKozul 1.20 / Buch 4.33
Signal prob.78% / 22%
Edge (Kozul)-0.0pp
WTT Feeder Olomouc · #13030280
Kozul1.20
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
Buch4.33
83%won 5 of 6 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest67%takes the first set · 4 of 6
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeKozul1wins
AwayBuch0wins
Kozul leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricKozulBuchK − BBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match39.036.0+3.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKozulBuchBasisWin rate · lifetime8 / 10 vs 5 / 1080%50%8 / 10 vs 5 / 10Avg sets wonper match2.52.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KozulKozul 1.20/Buch 4.33
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
78.3%
Kozul · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kozul won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WAug 27 · 16:50D. Kozul—61111113M. Buch—1169101
D. Kozul10
LAug 28 · 16:15D. Kozul2.63114561A. Bhattacharjee1.4491111113WAug 28 · 09:45D. Dorcescu4.00913751D. Kozul1.22111111113WAug 27 · 16:50D. Kozul1.2261111123M. Andersen3.751169101WAug 27 · 10:20D. Kozul1.3611128113Y. Yu3.005101151WAug 26 · 17:25D. Kozul1.351111123R. Heras2.9058100LAug 11 · 12:20D. Kozul4.33931181D. Jorgic1.2011115113WAug 9 · 20:50D. Kozul5.551111113G. Park1.107960WAug 9 · 17:55D. Kozul6.001111103G. Park1.117960WAug 9 · 12:05D. Kozul1.30111011113A. Levenko3.40912891WAug 8 · 14:45T. Apolonia1.3631D. Kozul3.0043
M. Buch10
WAug 27 · 10:20M. Buch4.00115116113R. Castro1.2261161172WAug 26 · 16:26E. Ly1.831111118122M. Buch1.83713811143WAug 26 · 10:55M. Buch1.731114113A. Valuch2.0091230WAug 20 · 15:05M. Buch1.171111113N. Callaba4.507490WAug 20 · 10:20M. Buch1.221311113E. Hardmeier4.0011460LJun 2 · 10:10M. Oikawa1.041111113M. Buch9.006480LAug 12 · 11:30M. Bankosz—117111203M. Buch—71131001LAug 12 · 08:00S. Berglund—117811113M. Buch—91111732LAug 11 · 12:30A. Abbasi—911151103M. Buch—11613801LAug 11 · 10:00W. Kindblad—1011111103M. Buch—1278701
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