TT Lossbeater/WTT Feeder Olomouc
WTT Feeder OlomoucMatch #13031730
Played Aug 28Finished
Denis Dorcescu
Home
4.00
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 5
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
9111311711511––
Deni Kozul
Away
1.22
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:11 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDenis Dorcescu to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingDenis Dorcescu above · Deni Kozul below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 5-11
Point 78 set 4, 5-11 — our read held Denis Dorcescu at 54.0%
78 points played in total.
H2H Denis Dorcescu 0–1 Deni Kozul Denis Dorcescu has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:11What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.22 (77%)
Kozul
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Dorcescu 2012 vs Kozul 2221
Kozul
Correct
both rated, 209 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dorcescu 100% vs Kozul 80%
Dorcescu
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dorcescu 60% vs Kozul 80%
Kozul
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Dorcescu +5 · Kozul +4
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 77% — Strong (leans Kozul) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dorcescu form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (25%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDorcescu 4.00 / Kozul 1.22
Signal prob.23% / 77%
Edge (Kozul)+0.0pp
WTT Feeder Olomouc · #13031730
Dorcescu4.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Kozul1.22
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeDorcescu0wins
AwayKozul1wins
Kozul leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricDorcescuKozulD − KBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match34.044.0−10.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDorcescuKozulBasisWin rate · lifetime4 / 5 vs 5 / 580%100%4 / 5 vs 5 / 5Avg sets wonper match2.63.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.639.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KozulDorcescu 4.00/Kozul 1.22
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
76.6%
Kozul · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kozul won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LAug 28 · 09:45D. Dorcescu—913751D. Kozul—111111113
D. Dorcescu10
WAug 27 · 18:00D. Dorcescu1.8011114113N. Tauler1.91991171WAug 27 · 10:55D. Szantosi1.8331161182D. Dorcescu1.83117116113WAug 26 · 18:00D. Dorcescu1.7571111113A. Kouraichi1.95118861WAug 26 · 10:20M. Pantoja1.67811361D. Dorcescu2.1011811113WAug 20 · 10:20L. Ullmann—131120D. Dorcescu—1511143LAug 19 · 10:15D. Dorcescu—76111182K. Sambe—111178113LMay 21 · 15:10D. Dorcescu2.75851191M. Saintilan1.4011113113WMay 21 · 09:50D. Dorcescu—1111113M. Froseth—7890LMay 20 · 15:45D. Dorcescu—6670G. Park—1111113LMay 17 · 11:20E. Ly1.36111113143D. Dorcescu3.0061311121
D. Kozul10
LAug 28 · 16:15D. Kozul2.63114561A. Bhattacharjee1.4491111113WAug 27 · 16:50D. Kozul1.2261111123M. Andersen3.751169101WAug 27 · 16:50D. Kozul1.2061111113M. Buch4.331169101WAug 27 · 10:20D. Kozul1.3611128113Y. Yu3.005101151WAug 26 · 17:25D. Kozul1.351111123R. Heras2.9058100LAug 11 · 12:20D. Kozul4.33931181D. Jorgic1.2011115113WAug 9 · 20:50D. Kozul5.551111113G. Park1.107960WAug 9 · 17:55D. Kozul6.001111103G. Park1.117960WAug 9 · 12:05D. Kozul1.30111011113A. Levenko3.40912891WAug 8 · 14:45T. Apolonia1.3631D. Kozul3.0043
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