TT Lossbeater/WTT Feeder Berlin
WTT Feeder BerlinMatch #12462844
Played Aug 20Finished
Martin Buch
Home
1.22
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
0–1Last 1Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1311114116––––
Elias Hardmeier
Away
4.00
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:59 and never touched — 66.3% is still 66.3%
Graded at full timeMartin Buch to win
66.3%
66.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMartin Buch above · Elias Hardmeier below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 56 set 3, 11-6 — our read held Martin Buch at 66.3%
56 points played in total.
H2H Martin Buch 1–0 Elias Hardmeier Elias Hardmeier has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 23:59What took a side1 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.22 (77%)
Buch
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Form (L5)
Buch 0% vs Hardmeier 20%
Hardmeier
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Buch 0% vs Hardmeier 30%
Hardmeier
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Buch -1 · Hardmeier -3
Hardmeier
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 77% — Strong (leans Buch) · live re-read · sealed at 66% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Buch form (0%) is below what odds imply (82%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBuch 1.22 / Hardmeier 4.00
Signal prob.77% / 23%
Edge (Buch)+0.0pp
WTT Feeder Berlin · #12462844
Buch1.22
0%won 0 of 1 · last 10
oldest → newest
0%takes the first set · 0 of 1
Hardmeier4.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeBuch1wins
AwayHardmeier0wins
Buch leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricBuchHardmeierB − HBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match35.021.0+14.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBuchHardmeierBasisWin rate · lifetime2 / 10 vs 3 / 1020%30%2 / 10 vs 3 / 10Avg sets wonper match1.31.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BuchBuch 1.22/Hardmeier 4.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
76.6%
Buch · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Buch won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WAug 20 · 10:20M. Buch—1311113E. Hardmeier—11460
M. Buch10
LAug 27 · 16:50D. Kozul1.2061111113M. Buch4.331169101WAug 27 · 10:20M. Buch4.00115116113R. Castro1.2261161172WAug 26 · 16:26E. Ly1.831111118122M. Buch1.83713811143WAug 26 · 10:55M. Buch1.731114113A. Valuch2.0091230WAug 20 · 15:05M. Buch1.171111113N. Callaba4.507490LJun 2 · 10:10M. Oikawa1.041111113M. Buch9.006480LAug 12 · 11:30M. Bankosz—117111203M. Buch—71131001LAug 12 · 08:00S. Berglund—117811113M. Buch—91111732LAug 11 · 12:30A. Abbasi—911151103M. Buch—11613801LAug 11 · 10:00W. Kindblad—1011111103M. Buch—1278701
E. Hardmeier10
LAug 20 · 10:20M. Andersen1.301311113E. Hardmeier3.2011460LAug 19 · 08:35E. Hardmeier1.836790A. Massart1.831111113LMay 21 · 15:45E. Hardmeier3.00117991C. Franco1.3651111113LMay 20 · 15:10N. Lam1.531111113E. Hardmeier2.386690WMay 20 · 09:05S. Chowdhury—11117452E. Hardmeier—931111113LJan 24 · 19:30E. Hardmeier5.006860B. Haug1.141111113LJan 24 · 18:30E. Hardmeier2.10510100M. Froseth1.671112123WJan 24 · 13:15K. Oost1.83116581E. Hardmeier1.8391111113LJan 24 · 12:05G. Camara1.441111113E. Hardmeier2.638760LJan 22 · 16:10K. Konstantinopoulos1.8311511113E. Hardmeier1.83911951
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