TT Lossbeater/WTT Feeder Olomouc
WTT Feeder OlomoucMatch #13014601
Played Aug 26Finished
Martin Buch
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
2–1Last 3Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1191412113––––
Alexander Valuch
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:07 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMartin Buch to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMartin Buch above · Alexander Valuch below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 14-12
Set 3 · 11-3
Point 60 set 3, 11-3 — our read held Martin Buch at 54.0%
60 points played in total.
H2H Martin Buch 1–0 Alexander Valuch Alexander Valuch has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:07What took a side3 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Buch
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Form (L5)
Buch 67% vs Valuch 20%
Buch
Correct
47pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Buch 67% vs Valuch 20%
Buch
Correct
47pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Buch +2 · Valuch +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Buch)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Valuch form (20%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBuch 1.73 / Valuch 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Buch)+0.3pp
WTT Feeder Olomouc · #13014601
Buch1.73
67%won 2 of 3 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest67%takes the first set · 2 of 3
Valuch2.00
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeBuch1wins
AwayValuch0wins
Buch leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricBuchValuchB − VBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match36.024.0+12.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBuchValuchBasisWin rate · lifetime3 / 10 vs 2 / 1030%20%3 / 10 vs 2 / 10Avg sets wonper match1.61.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BuchBuch 1.73/Valuch 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Buch · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Buch won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WAug 26 · 10:55M. Buch—1114113A. Valuch—91230
M. Buch10
LAug 27 · 16:50D. Kozul1.2061111113M. Buch4.331169101WAug 27 · 10:20M. Buch4.00115116113R. Castro1.2261161172WAug 26 · 16:26E. Ly1.831111118122M. Buch1.83713811143WAug 20 · 15:05M. Buch1.171111113N. Callaba4.507490WAug 20 · 10:20M. Buch1.221311113E. Hardmeier4.0011460LJun 2 · 10:10M. Oikawa1.041111113M. Buch9.006480LAug 12 · 11:30M. Bankosz—117111203M. Buch—71131001LAug 12 · 08:00S. Berglund—117811113M. Buch—91111732LAug 11 · 12:30A. Abbasi—911151103M. Buch—11613801LAug 11 · 10:00W. Kindblad—1011111103M. Buch—1278701
A. Valuch10
LAug 26 · 10:55M. Andersen1.671114113A. Valuch2.0091230WJun 3 · 10:20A. Valuch—912711113N. Lebaka—111011582LJun 2 · 11:55F. Bourrassaud1.131111113A. Valuch5.503720LJun 1 · 15:35G. Gomez1.53117115113A. Valuch2.3891161162LMay 28 · 08:35A. Valuch—5840S. Brhel—1111113LMay 27 · 15:00A. Valuch—11841182T. Falconnier—911117113LApr 20 · 08:00S. Gilles1.501211133A. Valuch2.50109110LApr 14 · 16:55S. Jang—1071111113A. Valuch—12117852WApr 14 · 10:25A. Valuch—11117113W. Bae—881151LApr 2 · 07:00A. Valuch—1171211132M. Nogami—911145153
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