TT Lossbeater/WTT Feeder Olomouc
WTT Feeder OlomoucMatch #13023767
Played Aug 27Finished
Martin Buch
Home
4.00
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
4–1Last 5Won last 4
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
116511116611117
Rogelio Castro
Away
1.22
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:08 and never touched — 68.8% is still 68.8%
Graded at full timeRogelio Castro to win
68.8%
68.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingMartin Buch above · Rogelio Castro below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 6-11
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 85 set 5, 11-7 — our read held Rogelio Castro at 68.8%
85 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 23:08What took a side1 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.22 (77%)
Castro
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Form (L5)
Buch 80% vs Castro 60%
Buch
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Buch 80% vs Castro 50%
Buch
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Buch +4 · Castro +1
Buch
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 77% — Strong (leans Castro) · live re-read · sealed at 69% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Castro form (60%) is below what odds imply (82%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBuch 4.00 / Castro 1.22
Signal prob.23% / 77%
Edge (Castro)+0.0pp
WTT Feeder Olomouc · #13023767
Buch4.00
80%won 4 of 5 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 3 of 5
Castro1.22
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricBuchCastroBasisWin rate · lifetime4 / 10 vs 5 / 1040%50%4 / 10 vs 5 / 10Avg sets wonper match1.82.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CastroBuch 4.00/Castro 1.22
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
76.6%
Castro · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Buch won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
M. Buch10
LAug 27 · 16:50D. Kozul1.2061111113M. Buch4.331169101WAug 26 · 16:26E. Ly1.831111118122M. Buch1.83713811143WAug 26 · 10:55M. Buch1.731114113A. Valuch2.0091230WAug 20 · 15:05M. Buch1.171111113N. Callaba4.507490WAug 20 · 10:20M. Buch1.221311113E. Hardmeier4.0011460LJun 2 · 10:10M. Oikawa1.041111113M. Buch9.006480LAug 12 · 11:30M. Bankosz—117111203M. Buch—71131001LAug 12 · 08:00S. Berglund—117811113M. Buch—91111732LAug 11 · 12:30A. Abbasi—911151103M. Buch—11613801LAug 11 · 10:00W. Kindblad—1011111103M. Buch—1278701
R. Castro10
LAug 27 · 10:20M. Andersen2.34115116113R. Castro1.5461161172WAug 26 · 17:25A. Mino3.00114991R. Castro1.3681111113LAug 22 · 16:50R. Castro2.405650I. Quek1.461111113WAug 22 · 11:55R. Castro2.10111111143G. Kim1.671395121WAug 21 · 08:00R. Castro1.331111113O. Kveton3.258810LJul 23 · 07:00G. Teodoro1.5791111113R. Castro2.25115971LJul 4 · 10:20C. Meissner1.5311147113R. Castro2.387121191WJul 3 · 16:25M. Grebnev1.223640R. Castro4.001111103WJul 3 · 08:35M. Grebnev1.303640R. Castro3.001111113LJun 26 · 20:45R. Castro3.401181191M. Allegro1.3013118113
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