TT Lossbeater/WTT Star Contender Brazil
WTT Star Contender BrazilMatch #12283671
Played Jul 23Finished
Guilherme Teodoro
Home
1.57
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
911115119117––
Rogelio Castro
Away
2.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:49 and never touched — 58.9% is still 58.9%
Graded at full timeGuilherme Teodoro to win
58.9%
58.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingGuilherme Teodoro above · Rogelio Castro below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 10-7
Point 73 set 4, 10-7 — our read held Guilherme Teodoro at 58.9%
73 points drawn · the score is 1 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Guilherme Teodoro 1–0 Rogelio Castro Rogelio Castro has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:49What took a side2 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Teodoro
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Form (L5)
Teodoro 60% vs Castro 40%
Teodoro
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Teodoro 50% vs Castro 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Teodoro -1 · Castro -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Teodoro)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTeodoro 1.57 / Castro 2.25
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Teodoro)+0.0pp
WTT Star Contender Brazil · #12283671
Teodoro1.57
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Castro2.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeTeodoro1wins
AwayCastro0wins
Teodoro leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricTeodoroCastroT − CBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match42.032.0+10.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTeodoroCastroBasisWin rate · lifetime5 / 10 vs 5 / 1050%50%5 / 10 vs 5 / 10Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TeodoroTeodoro 1.57/Castro 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.9%
Teodoro · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Teodoro won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WJul 23 · 07:00G. Teodoro—91111113R. Castro—115971
G. Teodoro10
LAug 9 · 13:15W. Verdonschot1.171111113G. Teodoro4.503760WAug 8 · 17:05G. Teodoro1.079101111113A. Wallin7.5011122932LJul 24 · 20:00D. Jorgic1.0811811113G. Teodoro7.00511781LJul 12 · 14:10L. Nodrest1.43159411113G. Teodoro2.60131111592WJul 11 · 21:50G. Teodoro2.7011111311113V. Picard1.3991315792WJul 11 · 16:20G. Teodoro1.571111113E. Otalvaro2.256690WJul 10 · 15:20G. Teodoro1.1011511113R. Chambet-Weil6.50711981LJun 27 · 02:15Y. Feng1.1113811113G. Teodoro5.001111781WJun 26 · 18:10H. Bae3.008870G. Teodoro1.361111113LMay 17 · 18:25Y. Kizukuri1.1411911113G. Teodoro5.00911521
R. Castro10
LAug 27 · 10:20M. Andersen2.34115116113R. Castro1.5461161172LAug 27 · 10:20M. Buch4.00115116113R. Castro1.2261161172WAug 26 · 17:25A. Mino3.00114991R. Castro1.3681111113LAug 22 · 16:50R. Castro2.405650I. Quek1.461111113WAug 22 · 11:55R. Castro2.10111111143G. Kim1.671395121WAug 21 · 08:00R. Castro1.331111113O. Kveton3.258810LJul 4 · 10:20C. Meissner1.5311147113R. Castro2.387121191WJul 3 · 16:25M. Grebnev1.223640R. Castro4.001111103WJul 3 · 08:35M. Grebnev1.303640R. Castro3.001111113LJun 26 · 20:45R. Castro3.401181191M. Allegro1.3013118113
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