TT Lossbeater/WTT United States Smash Quals
WTT United States Smash QualsMatch #12106023
Played Jun 26Finished
Rogelio Castro
Home
3.40
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1113811118911––
Martin Allegro
Away
1.30
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingRogelio Castro above · Martin Allegro below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 82 set 4, 9-11
82 points played in total.
Signal confidence: 72% — Strong (leans Allegro)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Allegro form (60%) is below what odds imply (77%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCastro 3.40 / Allegro 1.30
Signal prob.28% / 72%
Edge (Allegro)-0.0pp
WTT United States Smash Quals · #12106023
Castro3.40
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
Allegro1.30
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricCastroAllegroBasisWin rate · lifetime6 / 10 vs 5 / 1060%50%6 / 10 vs 5 / 10Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
AllegroCastro 3.40/Allegro 1.30
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
72.3%
Allegro · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Allegro won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
R. Castro10
LAug 27 · 10:20M. Andersen2.34115116113R. Castro1.5461161172LAug 27 · 10:20M. Buch4.00115116113R. Castro1.2261161172WAug 26 · 17:25A. Mino3.00114991R. Castro1.3681111113LAug 22 · 16:50R. Castro2.405650I. Quek1.461111113WAug 22 · 11:55R. Castro2.10111111143G. Kim1.671395121WAug 21 · 08:00R. Castro1.331111113O. Kveton3.258810LJul 23 · 07:00G. Teodoro1.5791111113R. Castro2.25115971LJul 4 · 10:20C. Meissner1.5311147113R. Castro2.387121191WJul 3 · 16:25M. Grebnev1.223640R. Castro4.001111103WJul 3 · 08:35M. Grebnev1.303640R. Castro3.001111113
M. Allegro10
LAug 9 · 09:45M. Allegro1.96129111682C. Nuytinck1.701411814113LAug 9 · 08:35M. Allegro2.25129111682C. Nuytinck1.571411814113LJun 28 · 02:15V. Ursu1.571111113M. Allegro2.255880WJun 27 · 18:10M. Allegro5.00511913113G. Park1.14119111182LJun 10 · 10:20G. Kuo1.3512114113M. Allegro2.701031171WJun 10 · 05:55F. Vallino5.80139891M. Allegro1.09111111113WJun 9 · 18:15F. Vallino4.50139891M. Allegro1.17111111113LJun 2 · 16:45D. Kozul1.821111113M. Allegro1.825540WJun 2 · 09:35M. Allegro1.2011116113A. Doyen4.33841141WJun 1 · 11:20M. Allegro1.3671111113C. Hung3.00116781
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