TT Lossbeater/WTT Feeder Berlin
WTT Feeder BerlinMatch #12475569
Played Aug 22Finished
Rogelio Castro
Home
2.40
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
511611511––––
Izaac Quek
Away
1.46
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:10 and never touched — 56.1% is still 56.1%
Graded at full timeIzaac Quek to win
56.1%
56.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRogelio Castro above · Izaac Quek below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 5-10
Point 48 set 3, 5-10 — our read held Izaac Quek at 56.1%
48 points drawn · the score is 1 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Rogelio Castro 0–1 Izaac Quek Rogelio Castro has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:10What took a side3 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.46 (62%)
Quek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Form (L5)
Castro 60% vs Quek 80%
Quek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Castro 50% vs Quek 80%
Quek
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Castro +2 · Quek +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Clear lean (leans Quek) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Quek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (68%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCastro 2.40 / Quek 1.46
Signal prob.38% / 62%
Edge (Quek)+0.0pp
WTT Feeder Berlin · #12475569
Castro2.40
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Quek1.46
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeCastro0wins
AwayQuek1wins
Quek leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
This 1 meeting
MetricCastroQuekC − QBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match16.033.0−17.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricCastroQuekBasisWin rate · lifetime5 / 10 vs 8 / 1050%80%5 / 10 vs 8 / 10Avg sets wonper match2.02.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
QuekCastro 2.40/Quek 1.46
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.2%
Quek · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Quek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LAug 22 · 16:50R. Castro—5650I. Quek—1111113
R. Castro10
LAug 27 · 10:20M. Andersen2.34115116113R. Castro1.5461161172LAug 27 · 10:20M. Buch4.00115116113R. Castro1.2261161172WAug 26 · 17:25A. Mino3.00114991R. Castro1.3681111113WAug 22 · 11:55R. Castro2.10111111143G. Kim1.671395121WAug 21 · 08:00R. Castro1.331111113O. Kveton3.258810LJul 23 · 07:00G. Teodoro1.5791111113R. Castro2.25115971LJul 4 · 10:20C. Meissner1.5311147113R. Castro2.387121191WJul 3 · 16:25M. Grebnev1.223640R. Castro4.001111103WJul 3 · 08:35M. Grebnev1.303640R. Castro3.001111113LJun 26 · 20:45R. Castro3.401181191M. Allegro1.3013118113
I. Quek10
LAug 27 · 18:35I. Quek1.8261070A. Bhattacharjee1.821112113LAug 27 · 17:25I. Quek1.8361070A. Bhattacharjee1.83111293WAug 27 · 10:20I. Quek1.33811119113J. Martinko3.2511331172WAug 26 · 16:50I. Quek1.20811911123M. Zalewski4.30116118102LAug 23 · 09:45I. Quek1.73117581R. Kawakami2.0091111113WAug 22 · 11:20S. Naresh6.00126110I. Quek1.111411133WAug 21 · 08:00J. Chua5.5061190I. Quek1.131113113LAug 11 · 18:20I. Quek6.0010820A. Lebrun1.11121183WAug 9 · 17:20C. Green3.35511871I. Quek1.2711911113WAug 9 · 16:10C. Green3.75511871I. Quek1.2511911113
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