TT Lossbeater/WTT Europe Smash Sweden
WTT Europe Smash SwedenMatch #12392992
Played Aug 11Finished
Izaac Quek
Home
6.00
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 5
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
101281128––––
Alexis Lebrun
Away
1.11
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 24:04 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeIzaac Quek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingIzaac Quek above · Alexis Lebrun below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 3-9
Point 53 set 3, 3-9 — our read held Izaac Quek at 54.0%
53 points played in total.
H2H Izaac Quek 0–1 Alexis Lebrun Izaac Quek has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 24:04What took a side2 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.11 (84%)
Lebrun
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Form (L5)
Quek 100% vs Lebrun 60%
Quek
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Quek 70% vs Lebrun 70%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Quek +5 · Lebrun -1
Quek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 84% — Strong (leans Lebrun) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lebrun form (60%) is below what odds imply (90%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsQuek 6.00 / Lebrun 1.11
Signal prob.16% / 84%
Edge (Lebrun)+0.0pp
WTT Europe Smash Sweden · #12392992
Quek6.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Lebrun1.11
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeQuek0wins
AwayLebrun1wins
Lebrun leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
This 1 meeting
MetricQuekLebrunQ − LBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match20.031.0−11.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricQuekLebrunBasisWin rate · lifetime7 / 10 vs 7 / 1070%70%7 / 10 vs 7 / 10Avg sets wonper match2.42.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LebrunQuek 6.00/Lebrun 1.11
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
84.4%
Lebrun · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Lebrun won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LAug 11 · 18:20I. Quek—10820A. Lebrun—121183
I. Quek10
LAug 27 · 18:35I. Quek1.8261070A. Bhattacharjee1.821112113LAug 27 · 17:25I. Quek1.8361070A. Bhattacharjee1.83111293WAug 27 · 10:20I. Quek1.33811119113J. Martinko3.2511331172WAug 26 · 16:50I. Quek1.20811911123M. Zalewski4.30116118102LAug 23 · 09:45I. Quek1.73117581R. Kawakami2.0091111113WAug 22 · 16:50R. Castro2.405650I. Quek1.461111113WAug 22 · 11:20S. Naresh6.00126110I. Quek1.111411133WAug 21 · 08:00J. Chua5.5061190I. Quek1.131113113WAug 9 · 17:20C. Green3.35511871I. Quek1.2711911113WAug 9 · 16:10C. Green3.75511871I. Quek1.2511911113
A. Lebrun10
LAug 15 · 12:15A. Lebrun3.509711130T. Harimoto1.28111113154WAug 14 · 12:50S. Lin1.4011711782A. Lebrun2.75611911113WAug 13 · 10:35P. Xiang3.40491181A. Lebrun1.3011117113LAug 8 · 11:00T. Harimoto1.50191111114A. Lebrun2.50179490WAug 7 · 11:05D. Jorgic3.75110381A. Lebrun1.2591111113WAug 4 · 02:00M. Shah7.005580A. Lebrun1.081111113LJul 26 · 21:00H. Calderano1.36113111344A. Lebrun3.00911611113WJul 26 · 18:00J. An3.0012550A. Lebrun1.361411113WJul 26 · 16:00J. An2.9512550A. Lebrun1.331411113WJul 25 · 21:10P. Franziska1.915117101A. Lebrun1.8011811123
Upcoming Matches
I. Quek
Nothing scheduled
A. Lebrun
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