TT Lossbeater/WTT Europe Smash Sweden
WTT Europe Smash SwedenMatch #12423550
Played Aug 14Finished
Shidong Lin
Home
1.40
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
116711119711811
Alexis Lebrun
Away
2.75
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:41 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAlexis Lebrun to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingShidong Lin above · Alexis Lebrun below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 92 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Alexis Lebrun at 54.0%
92 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:41What took a side1 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Lin
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Form (L5)
Lin 80% vs Lebrun 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lin 60% vs Lebrun 80%
Lebrun
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Lin +2 · Lebrun +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Lin) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lebrun form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLin 1.40 / Lebrun 2.75
Signal prob.66% / 34%
Edge (Lin)+0.0pp
WTT Europe Smash Sweden · #12423550
Lin1.40
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
Lebrun2.75
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricLinLebrunBasisWin rate · lifetime6 / 10 vs 8 / 1060%80%6 / 10 vs 8 / 10Avg sets wonper match2.12.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LinLin 1.40/Lebrun 2.75
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
66.3%
Lin · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Lebrun won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
S. Lin10
WAug 13 · 10:35S. Lin1.141111123K. Jha5.0073100WAug 10 · 10:35S. Lin1.2011711113Y. Chen4.33911461LJul 3 · 02:45A. Lebrun3.751111113S. Lin1.259980WJul 1 · 02:45Y. Tanaka6.509850S. Lin1.101111113WJun 28 · 19:00G. Park4.505260S. Lin1.171111113LJun 19 · 11:55Y. Uda4.5061117113S. Lin1.171191561LJun 12 · 16:20S. Lin1.17119911142J. Chen4.50711115163WJun 10 · 23:00S. Lin1.051111113L. Jancarik8.509350WMay 10 · 16:00S. Togami3.75951191S. Lin1.2511117113LMay 9 · 19:20S. Lin2.0099100F. Lebrun1.731111123
A. Lebrun10
LAug 15 · 12:15A. Lebrun3.509711130T. Harimoto1.28111113154WAug 13 · 10:35P. Xiang3.40491181A. Lebrun1.3011117113WAug 11 · 18:20I. Quek6.0010820A. Lebrun1.11121183LAug 8 · 11:00T. Harimoto1.50191111114A. Lebrun2.50179490WAug 7 · 11:05D. Jorgic3.75110381A. Lebrun1.2591111113WAug 4 · 02:00M. Shah7.005580A. Lebrun1.081111113LJul 26 · 21:00H. Calderano1.36113111344A. Lebrun3.00911611113WJul 26 · 18:00J. An3.0012550A. Lebrun1.361411113WJul 26 · 16:00J. An2.9512550A. Lebrun1.331411113WJul 3 · 02:45A. Lebrun3.751111113S. Lin1.259980
Upcoming Matches
S. Lin
Nothing scheduled
A. Lebrun
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