TT Lossbeater/WTT United States Smash
WTT United States SmashMatch #12119572
Played Jul 1Finished
Yuta Tanaka
Home
6.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911811511––––
Shidong Lin
Away
1.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingYuta Tanaka above · Shidong Lin below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Point 55 set 3, 5-11
55 points played in total.
H2H Yuta Tanaka 0–2 Shidong Lin Yuta Tanaka has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
Signal confidence: 86% — Strong (leans Lin)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lin form (60%) is below what odds imply (91%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTanaka 6.50 / Lin 1.10
Signal prob.15% / 86%
Edge (Lin)-0.0pp
WTT United States Smash · #12119572
Tanaka6.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Lin1.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeTanaka0wins
AwayLin2wins
1 of 2 to a deciderLin leads 2–0, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
These 2 meetings
MetricTanakaLinT − LBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set02−2of 2Avg pointsper match25.043.0−18.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTanakaLinBasisWin rate · lifetime3 / 10 vs 6 / 1030%60%3 / 10 vs 6 / 10Avg sets wonper match1.72.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LinTanaka 6.50/Lin 1.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
85.5%
Lin · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Lin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LJul 1 · 02:45Y. Tanaka—9850S. Lin—1111113
LJul 11 · 20:15Y. Tanaka—4621151S. Lin—1111119114
Y. Tanaka10
LSep 4 · 12:45Y. Tanaka2.2511115872S. Gauzy1.57781111113WSep 3 · 05:00Y. Tanaka1.441113113K. Yoshiyama2.6351190LAug 8 · 03:50Y. Tanaka1.4411142592R. Yoshiyama2.638121111113WAug 7 · 11:10H. Hsu2.61761181Y. Tanaka1.4111116113WAug 7 · 06:55D. Kim4.337750Y. Tanaka1.201111113WAug 6 · 11:50F. Meng3.2774100Y. Tanaka1.271111113WAug 6 · 03:00F. Meng4.0074100Y. Tanaka1.221111123LJul 24 · 21:10Y. Uda1.53119813113Y. Tanaka2.38911111152WJul 23 · 22:20Y. Tanaka1.101112113G. Gomez6.5061050WJul 23 · 07:00Y. Tanaka1.101112113G. Gomez6.5061050
S. Lin10
LAug 14 · 12:50S. Lin1.4011711782A. Lebrun2.75611911113WAug 13 · 10:35S. Lin1.141111123K. Jha5.0073100WAug 10 · 10:35S. Lin1.2011711113Y. Chen4.33911461LJul 3 · 02:45A. Lebrun3.751111113S. Lin1.259980WJun 28 · 19:00G. Park4.505260S. Lin1.171111113LJun 19 · 11:55Y. Uda4.5061117113S. Lin1.171191561LJun 12 · 16:20S. Lin1.17119911142J. Chen4.50711115163WJun 10 · 23:00S. Lin1.051111113L. Jancarik8.509350WMay 10 · 16:00S. Togami3.75951191S. Lin1.2511117113LMay 9 · 19:20S. Lin2.0099100F. Lebrun1.731111123
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