TT Lossbeater/WTT Contender Almaty
WTT Contender AlmatyMatch #13065344
Played Sep 3Finished
Yuta Tanaka
Home
1.44
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1151311119––––
Kazuki Yoshiyama
Away
2.63
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:09 and never touched — 66.3% is still 66.3%
Graded at full timeYuta Tanaka to win
66.3%
66.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingYuta Tanaka above · Kazuki Yoshiyama below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 10-7
Point 57 set 3, 10-7 — our read held Yuta Tanaka at 66.3%
57 points drawn · the score is 3 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:09What took a side2 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Tanaka
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Form (L5)
Tanaka 80% vs Yoshiyama 40%
Tanaka
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Tanaka 70% vs Yoshiyama 70%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Tanaka -1 · Yoshiyama -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Tanaka) · live re-read · sealed at 66% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Tanaka form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTanaka 1.44 / Yoshiyama 2.63
Signal prob.65% / 36%
Edge (Tanaka)-0.0pp
WTT Contender Almaty · #13065344
Tanaka1.44
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
Yoshiyama2.63
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricTanakaYoshiyamaBasisWin rate · lifetime7 / 10 vs 7 / 1070%70%7 / 10 vs 7 / 10Avg sets wonper match2.52.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TanakaTanaka 1.44/Yoshiyama 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.5%
Tanaka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Tanaka won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
Y. Tanaka10
LSep 4 · 12:45Y. Tanaka2.2511115872S. Gauzy1.57781111113LAug 8 · 03:50Y. Tanaka1.4411142592R. Yoshiyama2.638121111113WAug 7 · 11:10H. Hsu2.61761181Y. Tanaka1.4111116113WAug 7 · 06:55D. Kim4.337750Y. Tanaka1.201111113WAug 6 · 11:50F. Meng3.2774100Y. Tanaka1.271111113WAug 6 · 03:00F. Meng4.0074100Y. Tanaka1.221111123LJul 24 · 21:10Y. Uda1.53119813113Y. Tanaka2.38911111152WJul 23 · 22:20Y. Tanaka1.101112113G. Gomez6.5061050WJul 23 · 07:00Y. Tanaka1.101112113G. Gomez6.5061050LJul 1 · 02:45Y. Tanaka6.509850S. Lin1.101111113
K. Yoshiyama10
LJul 21 · 11:25K. Yoshiyama1.46116771Y. Lin2.4061111113LJul 21 · 03:00K. Yoshiyama1.50116771Y. Lin2.5061111113WJul 5 · 10:20K. Yoshiyama1.82115126113K. Stumper1.82811101152LJul 4 · 16:25R. Yoshiyama1.601111113K. Yoshiyama2.169570WJul 4 · 10:55K. Yoshiyama2.10115126113K. Stumper1.67811101152WJul 3 · 09:55K. Yoshiyama1.2551111113D. Lillo3.75119791WJul 3 · 08:35K. Yoshiyama1.2351111113D. Lillo3.50119791WJul 2 · 15:35N. Tretiak—61070K. Yoshiyama—1112113WJul 2 · 08:35K. Yoshiyama—1111113C. Kraemer—6860WJul 1 · 14:40K. Yoshiyama—1111113Z. Mohammed—3780
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