TT Lossbeater/WTT Star Contender Brazil Qual
WTT Star Contender Brazil QualMatch #12285499
Played Jul 23Finished
Yuta Tanaka
Home
1.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1161210115––––
Gustavo Gomez
Away
6.50
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 01:10 and never touched — 58.6% is still 58.6%
Graded at full timeGustavo Gomez to win
58.6%
58.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingYuta Tanaka above · Gustavo Gomez below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 11-5
Point 55 set 3, 11-5 — our read held Gustavo Gomez at 58.6%
55 points played in total.
H2H Yuta Tanaka 1–0 Gustavo Gomez Gustavo Gomez has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 01:10What took a side3 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.10 (86%)
Tanaka
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Form (L5)
Tanaka 20% vs Gomez 40%
Gomez
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Tanaka 30% vs Gomez 50%
Gomez
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Tanaka -1 · Gomez -3
Gomez
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 86% — Strong (leans Tanaka) · live re-read · sealed at 41% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Gomez form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (15%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTanaka 1.10 / Gomez 6.50
Signal prob.86% / 15%
Edge (Tanaka)-0.0pp
WTT Star Contender Brazil Qual · #12285499
Tanaka1.10
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Gomez6.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeTanaka1wins
AwayGomez0wins
Tanaka leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricTanakaGomezT − GBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match34.021.0+13.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTanakaGomezBasisWin rate · lifetime4 / 10 vs 4 / 1040%40%4 / 10 vs 4 / 10Avg sets wonper match1.71.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TanakaTanaka 1.10/Gomez 6.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
85.5%
Tanaka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Tanaka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WJul 23 · 22:20Y. Tanaka—1112113G. Gomez—61050
Y. Tanaka10
LSep 4 · 12:45Y. Tanaka2.2511115872S. Gauzy1.57781111113WSep 3 · 05:00Y. Tanaka1.441113113K. Yoshiyama2.6351190LAug 8 · 03:50Y. Tanaka1.4411142592R. Yoshiyama2.638121111113WAug 7 · 11:10H. Hsu2.61761181Y. Tanaka1.4111116113WAug 7 · 06:55D. Kim4.337750Y. Tanaka1.201111113WAug 6 · 11:50F. Meng3.2774100Y. Tanaka1.271111113WAug 6 · 03:00F. Meng4.0074100Y. Tanaka1.221111123LJul 24 · 21:10Y. Uda1.53119813113Y. Tanaka2.38911111152WJul 23 · 07:00Y. Tanaka1.101112113G. Gomez6.5061050LJul 1 · 02:45Y. Tanaka6.509850S. Lin1.101111113
G. Gomez10
LAug 26 · 17:25G. Gomez1.4361181192M. Antoine-Michard2.55119115113LJul 23 · 07:00Y. Tanaka1.101112113G. Gomez6.5061050LJul 10 · 15:15T. Monteiro—111011113G. Gomez—312891LJun 26 · 17:35N. Burgos1.571111123G. Gomez2.2587100LJun 3 · 10:20F. Bourrassaud1.221111133G. Gomez4.0093110WJun 2 · 11:55G. Gomez1.20911711113N. Lebaka4.3311711952WJun 1 · 15:35G. Gomez1.53117115113A. Valuch2.3891161162LMay 30 · 11:20T. Apolonia1.1711119113G. Gomez4.50771181WMay 29 · 10:20G. Gomez1.17111111113H. Ursut4.50134981LMay 18 · 11:20J. Geraldo1.2011811163G. Gomez4.338117141
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