TT Lossbeater/WTT Champions Yokohama
WTT Champions YokohamaMatch #12351744
Played Aug 4Finished
Manush Shah
Home
7.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
511511811––––
Alexis Lebrun
Away
1.08
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:27 and never touched — 83.0% is still 83.0%
Graded at full timeAlexis Lebrun to win
83.0%
83.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingManush Shah above · Alexis Lebrun below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 51 set 3, 8-11 — our read held Alexis Lebrun at 83.0%
51 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:27What took a side3 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.08 (87%)
Lebrun
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Form (L5)
Shah 60% vs Lebrun 80%
Lebrun
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Shah 60% vs Lebrun 80%
Lebrun
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Shah -2 · Lebrun -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 87% — Strong (leans Lebrun) · live re-read · sealed at 83% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lebrun form (80%) is below what odds imply (92%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsShah 7.00 / Lebrun 1.08
Signal prob.13% / 87%
Edge (Lebrun)-0.0pp
WTT Champions Yokohama · #12351744
Shah7.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Lebrun1.08
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricShahLebrunBasisWin rate · lifetime6 / 10 vs 8 / 1060%80%6 / 10 vs 8 / 10Avg sets wonper match2.32.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LebrunShah 7.00/Lebrun 1.08
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
86.6%
Lebrun · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Lebrun won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
M. Shah10
LSep 4 · 06:45M. Shah1.228660D. Ivonin4.001111113WSep 3 · 07:20M. Shah1.201111113L. Volin4.338630LAug 11 · 11:45M. Shah2.2511761182Y. Feng1.57311115113LJun 27 · 19:55H. Cifuentes2.631311113M. Shah1.4411760LJun 20 · 09:35H. Calderano1.141011711113M. Shah5.0012811762WJun 20 · 01:55M. Shah—13411113K. Jha—1111681WJun 19 · 15:00M. Shah2.7513411113K. Jha1.401111681WJun 18 · 04:00J. Chen1.251210111392M. Shah3.7510121311113LMay 23 · 15:35J. Oh1.4011135113M. Shah2.757111131WMay 23 · 09:35M. Shah2.501141111113T. Poret1.5081131342
A. Lebrun10
LAug 15 · 12:15A. Lebrun3.509711130T. Harimoto1.28111113154WAug 14 · 12:50S. Lin1.4011711782A. Lebrun2.75611911113WAug 13 · 10:35P. Xiang3.40491181A. Lebrun1.3011117113WAug 11 · 18:20I. Quek6.0010820A. Lebrun1.11121183LAug 8 · 11:00T. Harimoto1.50191111114A. Lebrun2.50179490WAug 7 · 11:05D. Jorgic3.75110381A. Lebrun1.2591111113LJul 26 · 21:00H. Calderano1.36113111344A. Lebrun3.00911611113WJul 26 · 18:00J. An3.0012550A. Lebrun1.361411113WJul 26 · 16:00J. An2.9512550A. Lebrun1.331411113WJul 25 · 21:10P. Franziska1.915117101A. Lebrun1.8011811123
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