TT Lossbeater/WTT Contender Almaty
WTT Contender AlmatyMatch #13072226
Played Sep 4Finished
Manush Shah
Home
1.22
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
811611611––––
Denis Ivonin
Away
4.00
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:53 and never touched — 66.7% is still 66.7%
Graded at full timeDenis Ivonin to win
66.7%
66.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingManush Shah above · Denis Ivonin below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 6-10
Point 52 set 3, 6-10 — our read held Denis Ivonin at 66.7%
52 points drawn · the score is 1 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Manush Shah 0–1 Denis Ivonin Manush Shah has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:53What took a side3 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.22 (77%)
Shah
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Form (L5)
Shah 20% vs Ivonin 80%
Ivonin
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Shah 50% vs Ivonin 90%
Ivonin
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Shah +1 · Ivonin +3
Ivonin
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 77% — Strong (leans Shah) · live re-read · sealed at 33% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ivonin form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (25%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsShah 1.22 / Ivonin 4.00
Signal prob.77% / 23%
Edge (Shah)+0.0pp
WTT Contender Almaty · #13072226
Shah1.22
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Ivonin4.00
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeShah0wins
AwayIvonin1wins
Ivonin leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
This 1 meeting
MetricShahIvoninS − IBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match20.033.0−13.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricShahIvoninBasisWin rate · lifetime5 / 10 vs 9 / 1050%90%5 / 10 vs 9 / 10Avg sets wonper match2.02.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ShahShah 1.22/Ivonin 4.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
76.6%
Shah · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Ivonin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LSep 4 · 06:45M. Shah—8660D. Ivonin—1111113
M. Shah10
WSep 3 · 07:20M. Shah1.201111113L. Volin4.338630LAug 11 · 11:45M. Shah2.2511761182Y. Feng1.57311115113LAug 4 · 02:00M. Shah7.005580A. Lebrun1.081111113LJun 27 · 19:55H. Cifuentes2.631311113M. Shah1.4411760LJun 20 · 09:35H. Calderano1.141011711113M. Shah5.0012811762WJun 20 · 01:55M. Shah—13411113K. Jha—1111681WJun 19 · 15:00M. Shah2.7513411113K. Jha1.401111681WJun 18 · 04:00J. Chen1.251210111392M. Shah3.7510121311113LMay 23 · 15:35J. Oh1.4011135113M. Shah2.757111131WMay 23 · 09:35M. Shah2.501141111113T. Poret1.5081131342
D. Ivonin10
LSep 5 · 06:00D. Ivonin2.6312490K. Hamada1.441411113WSep 3 · 06:45R. Walther1.2893121162D. Ivonin3.501111108113WSep 2 · 12:45S. Iskandarov5.501251351D. Ivonin1.13101115113WSep 2 · 05:00T. Jiyenbayev—10250D. Ivonin—1211113LJul 27 · 14:35F. Bourrassaud1.4111711113D. Ivonin2.60711791WJul 27 · 08:55D. Ivonin1.671111113B. Kim2.106890WJul 26 · 07:55S. Gulomiddinov10.504370D. Ivonin1.021111113WJul 25 · 13:20D. Ivonin—151112113S. Zhubanov—1741071WJul 25 · 08:00D. Ivonin—1111113R. Dutta—2750WJul 24 · 14:45D. Ivonin—1111113K. Teshaboev—6250
Upcoming Matches
M. Shah
D. Ivonin
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