TT Lossbeater/WTT Contender Almaty Quals
WTT Contender Almaty QualsMatch #13063008
Played Sep 2Finished
Shokhrukh Iskandarov
Home
5.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
12105111315511––
Denis Ivonin
Away
1.13
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:39 and never touched — 62.9% is still 62.9%
Graded at full timeDenis Ivonin to win
62.9%
62.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingShokhrukh Iskandarov above · Denis Ivonin below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 13-15
Set 4 · 5-10
Point 81 set 4, 5-10 — our read held Denis Ivonin at 62.9%
81 points drawn · the score is 1 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 07:39What took a side3 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.13 (83%)
Ivonin
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Form (L5)
Iskandarov 40% vs Ivonin 80%
Ivonin
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Iskandarov 30% vs Ivonin 80%
Ivonin
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Iskandarov +1 · Ivonin +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 83% — Strong (leans Ivonin) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Iskandarov form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (18%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsIskandarov 5.50 / Ivonin 1.13
Signal prob.17% / 83%
Edge (Ivonin)-0.0pp
WTT Contender Almaty Quals · #13063008
Iskandarov5.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Ivonin1.13
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricIskandarovIvoninBasisWin rate · lifetime3 / 10 vs 8 / 1030%80%3 / 10 vs 8 / 10Avg sets wonper match1.42.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
IvoninIskandarov 5.50/Ivonin 1.13
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
83%
Ivonin · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Ivonin won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
S. Iskandarov10
WSep 2 · 05:35S. Iskandarov1.251211113K. Kabdyluakhitov3.7510670LJul 27 · 08:20L. Katsman1.031211113S. Iskandarov10.0010770WJul 26 · 13:45S. Iskandarov5.301111113O. Kakharov1.102480LMay 11 · 08:10I. Sgouropoulos—1111113S. Iskandarov—6940LMay 10 · 09:40S. Iskandarov—11370A. Riniotis—1311113LApr 30 · 18:30S. Iskandarov—613851G. Teodoro—111111113WApr 29 · 22:25S. Moreno—118641S. Iskandarov—61111113LApr 29 · 19:55A. Naranjo—1111911113S. Iskandarov—51311332LApr 28 · 18:28S. Iskandarov1.8310490A. Szudi1.831211113LSep 18 · 09:55S. Iskandarov1.83131212692K. Kahraman1.8311101411113
D. Ivonin10
LSep 5 · 06:00D. Ivonin2.6312490K. Hamada1.441411113WSep 4 · 06:45M. Shah1.228660D. Ivonin4.001111113WSep 3 · 06:45R. Walther1.2893121162D. Ivonin3.501111108113WSep 2 · 05:00T. Jiyenbayev—10250D. Ivonin—1211113LJul 27 · 14:35F. Bourrassaud1.4111711113D. Ivonin2.60711791WJul 27 · 08:55D. Ivonin1.671111113B. Kim2.106890WJul 26 · 07:55S. Gulomiddinov10.504370D. Ivonin1.021111113WJul 25 · 13:20D. Ivonin—151112113S. Zhubanov—1741071WJul 25 · 08:00D. Ivonin—1111113R. Dutta—2750WJul 24 · 14:45D. Ivonin—1111113K. Teshaboev—6250
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